TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Evald Gebek vs Ivo Taichman 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 9Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115119711117––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:56 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeEvald Gebek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingEvald Gebek above · Ivo Taichman below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 72 set 4, 11-7 · our read held Evald Gebek at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Evald Gebek 2–4 Ivo Taichman Evald Gebek has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:5654.0%Our read52.4%to break even at 1.909
clears by 1.6pp52.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.909 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Taichman
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Taichman
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gebek 1521 vs Taichman 1443
Gebek
Correct
both rated, 79 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gebek 60% vs Taichman 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gebek 60% vs Taichman 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gebek -2 · Taichman +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Gebek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGebek 1.909 / Taichman 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Gebek)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13263819
Gebek1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 05)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog27% won 4 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back9% 1 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8
Taichman1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Oct 06)
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 97 of 172
Up 2–0, closes it94% 46 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it78% 72 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeGebek2wins
AwayTaichman4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderTaichman leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGebek25%1 of 4
AwayTaichmann = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gebek4Taichman2n = 6Gebek took 4 of 6
S2Gebek2Taichman4n = 6Taichman took 4 of 6
S3Gebek3Taichman3n = 6split evenly
S4Gebek2Taichman3n = 5Taichman took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home233%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricGebekTaichmanG − TBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match36.238.3−2.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGebekTaichmanBasisWin rate · lifetime49 / 85 vs 289 / 56357.7%51.3%49 / 85 vs 289 / 563Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GebekGebek 1.91/Taichman 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Gebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gebek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WOct 9 · 06:00E. Gebek4011117113I. Taichman32591171
LSep 23 · 20:00E. Gebek3511511352I. Taichman49711911113
LSep 16 · 07:00E. Gebek2358100I. Taichman341111123
LSep 13 · 08:00E. Gebek48118116122I. Taichman46611411143
LJul 4 · 18:00E. Gebek29118461I. Taichman3961111113
WMay 28 · 12:30E. Gebek4291111113I. Taichman30119821
E. Gebek10
LOct 5 · 09:30M. Blejchar1.501113113E. Gebek2.5031170LOct 5 · 08:00M. Blejchar1.531111123E. Gebek2.3806100WOct 5 · 07:00R. Adam1.834860E. Gebek1.831111113WOct 5 · 06:30E. Gebek1.671412113M. Kowolowski2.10121090WSep 23 · 21:28E. Gebek1.441114123R. Guliak2.63912100LSep 23 · 20:00I. Taichman1.67711911113E. Gebek2.1011511352WSep 23 · 19:00M. Kowolowski1.911112771E. Gebek1.8081411113WSep 23 · 18:30E. Gebek1.50111111113R. Guliak2.50137971LSep 16 · 09:30R. Adam1.85111199123E. Gebek1.85891111102WSep 16 · 08:00R. Adam1.831112101092E. Gebek1.839101212113
I. Taichman10
WOct 6 · 20:58I. Taichman2.001114113M. Kowolowski1.7351240WOct 6 · 20:30I. Taichman1.5711119113M. Jasek2.25781161LOct 6 · 19:00I. Taichman2.108860R. Guliak1.671111113WOct 6 · 18:00M. Kowolowski1.539460I. Taichman2.381111113LOct 5 · 21:00I. Taichman2.2061660F. Zurek1.611118113WOct 5 · 20:30I. Taichman1.7811118113P. Hanel1.92671181WOct 5 · 19:00I. Taichman2.381111810113F. Zurek1.5398111292LOct 5 · 18:00R. Guliak1.831111113I. Taichman1.836480LOct 3 · 09:00I. Taichman2.001251071F. Zurek1.73101112113WSep 23 · 20:00I. Taichman1.67711911113E. Gebek2.1011511352
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