TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Radim Adam vs Evald Gebek 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411811611––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:53 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadim Adam to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadim Adam above · Evald Gebek below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 51 set 3, 6-11 · our read held Radim Adam at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Radim Adam 5–4 Evald Gebek Evald Gebek has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:5354.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Gebek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adam 1476 vs Gebek 1537
Gebek
Correct
both rated, 61 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adam 40% vs Gebek 80%
Gebek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adam 40% vs Gebek 70%
Gebek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adam +1 · Gebek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Adam) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gebek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdam 1.833 / Gebek 1.833
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Adam)-0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13243066
Adam1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Gebek1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeAdam5wins
AwayGebek4wins
6 of 9 to a deciderAdam leads 5–4, and 6 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdam50%2 of 4
AwayGebek40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adam4Gebek5n = 9Gebek took 5 of 9
S2Adam7Gebek2n = 9Adam took 7 of 9
S3Adam1Gebek8n = 9Gebek took 8 of 9
S4Adam3Gebek3n = 6split evenly
S5Adam4Gebek2n = 6Adam took 4 of 6
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home444%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricAdamGebekA − GBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match40.742.3−1.6per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamGebekBasisWin rate · lifetime205 / 401 vs 48 / 8251.1%58.5%205 / 401 vs 48 / 82Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
AdamAdam 1.83/Gebek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Adam · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Gebek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LOct 5 · 07:00R. Adam184860E. Gebek331111113
WSep 16 · 09:30R. Adam52111199123E. Gebek49891111102
LSep 16 · 08:00R. Adam521112101092E. Gebek549101212113
LMay 29 · 13:00R. Adam2210750E. Gebek341211113
WMay 29 · 10:30R. Adam331111113E. Gebek239590
WMay 28 · 13:30R. Adam46811511113E. Gebek4411511892
WMay 28 · 10:00R. Adam49911711113E. Gebek4411611882
WMay 6 · 21:30R. Adam54811912143E. Gebek521181110122
LMay 6 · 18:00R. Adam4011114862E. Gebek48871111113
R. Adam10
WOct 5 · 06:00M. Blejchar1.5361113682R. Adam2.381161111113LOct 4 · 13:00M. Blejchar1.831111113R. Adam1.835990LOct 4 · 12:30P. Chovanec1.611111123R. Adam2.2099100WOct 4 · 11:30R. Adam2.201111113M. Blejchar1.617760LOct 4 · 10:30L. Velicka1.801111113R. Adam1.919890LOct 3 · 17:30R. Adam1.2811751192M. Kowolowski3.50711112113WOct 3 · 16:00R. Adam1.331111113M. Kowolowski3.259850LOct 3 · 15:30V. Bosak3.5011116143R. Adam1.286911121WOct 3 · 14:00R. Adam1.501112810113R. Guliak2.50610111292LOct 1 · 20:58R. Adam1.6791111892I. Taichman2.10116611113
E. Gebek10
WOct 5 · 06:30E. Gebek1.671412113M. Kowolowski2.10121090WSep 23 · 21:28E. Gebek1.441114123R. Guliak2.63912100LSep 23 · 20:00I. Taichman1.67711911113E. Gebek2.1011511352WSep 23 · 19:00M. Kowolowski1.911112771E. Gebek1.8081411113WSep 23 · 18:30E. Gebek1.50111111113R. Guliak2.50137971LSep 16 · 09:30R. Adam1.85111199123E. Gebek1.85891111102WSep 16 · 08:00R. Adam1.831112101092E. Gebek1.839101212113LSep 16 · 07:00I. Taichman1.801111123E. Gebek1.9158100WSep 16 · 06:30E. Gebek1.5311815113F. Zurek2.387111391WSep 13 · 09:00E. Gebek1.4571111113T. Kraninger2.55118641
Upcoming Matches
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