TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Marek Blejchar vs Evald Gebek 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1101161210––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:57 and never touched: 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeMarek Blejchar to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMarek Blejchar above · Evald Gebek below
Set 1 · 11-0
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 50 set 3, 12-10 · our read held Marek Blejchar at 62.0%
50 points played in total.
H2H Marek Blejchar 7–2 Evald Gebek Evald Gebek has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:5762.0%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 3.2pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Blejchar
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Blejchar
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blejchar 1561 vs Gebek 1537
Blejchar
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blejchar 60% vs Gebek 80%
Gebek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blejchar 70% vs Gebek 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Blejchar +1 · Gebek +3
Gebek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Clear lean (leans Blejchar) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gebek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlejchar 1.533 / Gebek 2.375
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Blejchar)-3.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13242985
Blejchar1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 101 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it93% 50 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it84% 69 of 82
Gebek2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 5 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back11% 1 of 9
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeBlejchar7wins
AwayGebek2wins
3 of 9 to a deciderBlejchar leads 7–2, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlejchar100%5 of 5
AwayGebek50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blejchar5Gebek4n = 9Blejchar took 5 of 9
S2Blejchar7Gebek2n = 9Blejchar took 7 of 9
S3Blejchar4Gebek5n = 9Gebek took 5 of 9
S4Blejchar3Gebek3n = 6split evenly
S5Blejchar3Gebek0n = 3Blejchar took 3 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricBlejcharGebekB − GBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match39.735.3+4.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlejcharGebekBasisWin rate · lifetime312 / 635 vs 48 / 8249.1%58.5%312 / 635 vs 48 / 82Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BlejcharBlejchar 1.53/Gebek 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Blejchar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Blejchar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 7 · 20:00M. Blejchar331111113E. Gebek192980
LAug 4 · 09:30M. Blejchar28611471E. Gebek4211911113
WAug 4 · 08:00M. Blejchar341111123E. Gebek2789100
WJul 27 · 09:30M. Blejchar4211119113E. Gebek26481131
WJul 27 · 06:30M. Blejchar51911119113E. Gebek3811771122
WJul 19 · 09:00M. Blejchar4211118123E. Gebek304511101
LJul 19 · 07:00M. Blejchar2211470E. Gebek351311113
WJun 13 · 12:00M. Blejchar561291113113E. Gebek52101191572
WMay 29 · 11:30M. Blejchar49715311133E. Gebek491113113112
M. Blejchar10
WOct 5 · 09:30M. Blejchar1.501113113E. Gebek2.5031170WOct 5 · 07:30M. Kowolowski1.57168551M. Blejchar2.25141111113LOct 5 · 06:00M. Blejchar1.5361113682R. Adam2.381161111113WOct 4 · 13:00M. Blejchar1.831111113R. Adam1.835990WOct 4 · 12:00M. Blejchar1.831111113L. Velicka1.838530LOct 4 · 11:30R. Adam2.201111113M. Blejchar1.617760LOct 4 · 10:00M. Blejchar1.9166111232P. Chovanec1.801111710113WOct 1 · 21:30M. Blejchar1.40119116113F. Zurek2.7581191182WOct 1 · 20:00M. Blejchar1.7311711113R. Adam2.00511511WOct 1 · 19:30F. Zurek2.637111161M. Blejchar1.4411137113
E. Gebek10
LOct 5 · 09:30M. Blejchar1.501113113E. Gebek2.5031170WOct 5 · 07:00R. Adam1.834860E. Gebek1.831111113WOct 5 · 06:30E. Gebek1.671412113M. Kowolowski2.10121090WSep 23 · 21:28E. Gebek1.441114123R. Guliak2.63912100LSep 23 · 20:00I. Taichman1.67711911113E. Gebek2.1011511352WSep 23 · 19:00M. Kowolowski1.911112771E. Gebek1.8081411113WSep 23 · 18:30E. Gebek1.50111111113R. Guliak2.50137971LSep 16 · 09:30R. Adam1.85111199123E. Gebek1.85891111102WSep 16 · 08:00R. Adam1.831112101092E. Gebek1.839101212113LSep 16 · 07:00I. Taichman1.801111123E. Gebek1.9158100
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