TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Filip Zurek vs Roman Guliak 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA18 · Ostrava
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117911119115––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:29 and never touched: 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeFilip Zurek to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Zurek above · Roman Guliak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 74 set 4, 11-5 · our read held Filip Zurek at 56.6%
74 points played in total.
H2H Filip Zurek 11–9 Roman Guliak Roman Guliak has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:2956.6%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 3.4pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zurek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
11-9 in 20
Zurek
Correct
gap of 2 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zurek 1457 vs Guliak 1366
Zurek
Correct
both rated, 92 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zurek 60% vs Guliak 0%
Zurek
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zurek 40% vs Guliak 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zurek -2 · Guliak -5
Guliak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Zurek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guliak form (0%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZurek 1.666 / Guliak 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Zurek)-3.4pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13268213
Zurek1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite56% won 90 of 160
Up 2–0, closes it89% 42 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it73% 68 of 93
Guliak2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 08)
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 73 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back24% 26 of 110
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZurek6wins
AwayGuliak4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderZurek leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZurek50%4 of 8
AwayGuliakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zurek8Guliak2n = 10Zurek took 8 of 10
S2Zurek5Guliak5n = 10split evenly
S3Zurek4Guliak6n = 10Guliak took 6 of 10
S4Zurek5Guliak4n = 9Zurek took 5 of 9
S5Zurek3Guliak3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZurekGuliakZ − GBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.439.6+2.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZurekGuliakBasisWin rate · lifetime329 / 649 vs 339 / 68950.7%49.2%329 / 649 vs 339 / 689Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZurekZurek 1.67/Guliak 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.6%
Zurek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Zurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 10 · 06:30F. Zurek4211911113R. Guliak32711951
LOct 5 · 20:00F. Zurek50111110992R. Guliak47581211113
WOct 2 · 15:00F. Zurek3811115113R. Guliak30661171
WSep 26 · 09:30F. Zurek46511811113R. Guliak3811611462
WSep 26 · 07:00F. Zurek331111113R. Guliak249960
LSep 5 · 20:30F. Zurek4511812862R. Guliak529111011113
WAug 21 · 09:30F. Zurek541191112113R. Guliak4771191462
WAug 21 · 06:30F. Zurek48711811113R. Guliak4211711672
LAug 20 · 09:30F. Zurek3811721172R. Guliak44611115113
LAug 20 · 06:30F. Zurek30115591R. Guliak4071111113
F. Zurek10
WOct 10 · 07:00R. Kvasnicka1.731110811102F. Zurek2.00712118123LOct 9 · 09:30E. Gebek1.44114311113F. Zurek2.6371111582LOct 9 · 08:00E. Gebek1.44881111113F. Zurek2.6311116582WOct 9 · 07:00I. Taichman2.38631951F. Zurek1.53111117113WOct 9 · 06:30F. Zurek1.5081111123P. Varecha2.501153101WOct 5 · 21:00I. Taichman2.2061660F. Zurek1.611118113LOct 5 · 20:00R. Guliak2.38581211113F. Zurek1.53111110992LOct 5 · 19:00I. Taichman2.381111810113F. Zurek1.5398111292LOct 5 · 18:30F. Zurek2.2574100P. Hanel1.571111123WOct 3 · 09:00I. Taichman2.001251071F. Zurek1.73101112113
R. Guliak10
WOct 10 · 07:30R. Guliak1.611111123I. Taichman2.2077100LOct 8 · 20:59M. Jasek1.617111111113R. Guliak2.2011134582LOct 8 · 20:00R. Guliak2.1011410101A. Schneeberger1.6771112123LOct 8 · 19:30P. Hanel1.331111113R. Guliak3.259560LOct 8 · 18:00R. Guliak2.381111871M. Jasek1.5313811113LOct 6 · 21:28M. Jasek1.671111113R. Guliak2.106580WOct 6 · 20:00M. Kowolowski1.6118771162R. Guliak2.201611118113WOct 6 · 19:00I. Taichman2.108860R. Guliak1.671111113LOct 6 · 18:30R. Guliak1.91119861M. Jasek1.8081111113WOct 5 · 20:00R. Guliak2.38581211113F. Zurek1.53111110992
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.