TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Ivo Taichman vs Radim Kvasnicka 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProA18 · Ostrava
Played Oct 10Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6119111210117115
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:58 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadim Kvasnicka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIvo Taichman above · Radim Kvasnicka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 93 set 5, 11-5 · our read held Radim Kvasnicka at 54.0%
93 points played in total.
H2H Ivo Taichman 1–0 Radim Kvasnicka Radim Kvasnicka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:5854.0%Our read50.0%to break even at 2.00
clears by 4.0pp50.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 2.00 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Taichman
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Taichman 1416 vs Kvasnicka 1450
Kvasnicka
Wrong
both rated, 33 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Taichman 20% vs Kvasnicka 60%
Kvasnicka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Taichman 40% vs Kvasnicka 80%
Kvasnicka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Taichman -4 · Kvasnicka -1
Taichman
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Kvasnicka) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Taichman form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTaichman 1.727 / Kvasnicka 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kvasnicka)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13268392
Taichman1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 97 of 174
Up 2–0, closes it94% 46 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it78% 72 of 92
Kvasnicka2.00
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Oct 03)
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 13 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back28% 5 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeTaichman1wins
AwayKvasnicka0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderTaichman leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricTaichmanKvasnickaT − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match49.044.0+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTaichmanKvasnickaBasisWin rate · lifetime290 / 567 vs 72 / 13051.2%55.4%290 / 567 vs 72 / 130Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KvasnickaTaichman 1.73/Kvasnicka 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kvasnicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Taichman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WOct 10 · 06:00I. Taichman49691211113R. Kvasnicka44111110752
I. Taichman10
LOct 10 · 07:30R. Guliak1.611111123I. Taichman2.2077100LOct 9 · 08:58P. Varecha1.611111113I. Taichman2.208850LOct 9 · 08:30I. Taichman1.535880P. Varecha2.381111113LOct 9 · 07:00I. Taichman2.38631951F. Zurek1.53111117113LOct 9 · 06:00E. Gebek1.9111117113I. Taichman1.80591171WOct 6 · 20:58I. Taichman2.001114113M. Kowolowski1.7351240WOct 6 · 20:30I. Taichman1.5711119113M. Jasek2.25781161LOct 6 · 19:00I. Taichman2.108860R. Guliak1.671111113WOct 6 · 18:00M. Kowolowski1.539460I. Taichman2.381111113LOct 5 · 21:00I. Taichman2.2061660F. Zurek1.611118113
R. Kvasnicka10
LOct 10 · 07:00R. Kvasnicka1.731110811102F. Zurek2.00712118123LOct 3 · 21:30R. Kvasnicka1.5711411872D. Priesol2.25611811113WOct 3 · 20:00L. Jemelka1.6181111101R. Kvasnicka2.2011132123WOct 3 · 19:00M. Kolek2.7561070R. Kvasnicka1.401112113WOct 3 · 18:30R. Kvasnicka1.5781211113D. Priesol2.251110581LOct 3 · 09:30R. Kvasnicka1.4396111142A. Virag2.60111187113WOct 3 · 08:00R. Kvasnicka1.501112113M. Kolek2.5051050WOct 3 · 07:30A. Schneeberger2.63911111152R. Kvasnicka1.44111398113WOct 3 · 06:00R. Kvasnicka1.801111113A. Virag1.917880WSep 25 · 21:00R. Kvasnicka1.57811911113J. Peter2.2511911432
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