TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Radim Kvasnicka vs Alexandr Virag 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117118118––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:54 and never touched: 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeRadim Kvasnicka to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Kvasnicka above · Alexandr Virag below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 56 set 3, 11-8 · our read held Radim Kvasnicka at 54.3%
56 points played in total.
H2H Radim Kvasnicka 1–0 Alexandr Virag Alexandr Virag has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:5454.3%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.3pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Kvasnicka
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kvasnicka 1455 vs Virag 1392
Kvasnicka
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kvasnicka 80% vs Virag 60%
Kvasnicka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kvasnicka 80% vs Virag 60%
Kvasnicka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kvasnicka +3 · Virag -2
Kvasnicka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Kvasnicka) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kvasnicka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKvasnicka 1.80 / Virag 1.909
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kvasnicka)-1.3pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13233656
Kvasnicka1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 25) · back after a break
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 33 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it82% 22 of 27
Virag1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Sep 29)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog26% won 11 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back10% 2 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKvasnicka1wins
AwayVirag0wins
Kvasnicka leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKvasnickaViragK − VBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.023.0+10.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKvasnickaViragBasisWin rate · lifetime67 / 121 vs 144 / 29655.4%48.7%67 / 121 vs 144 / 296Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KvasnickaKvasnicka 1.80/Virag 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.3%
Kvasnicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kvasnicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WOct 3 · 06:00R. Kvasnicka331111113A. Virag237880
R. Kvasnicka10
WSep 25 · 21:00R. Kvasnicka1.57811911113J. Peter2.2511911432WSep 25 · 20:30R. Kvasnicka2.50411118113T. Kraninger1.5011891192WSep 25 · 19:00R. Kvasnicka1.53931111143J. Peter2.38111185122LSep 25 · 18:00M. Jasek1.571111113R. Kvasnicka2.256210WSep 19 · 21:30D. Mikula1.83137981R. Kvasnicka1.83111111113LSep 19 · 20:00R. Kvasnicka2.00111151172D. Mikula1.73513117113WSep 19 · 19:30Z. Zientek2.382911101R. Kvasnicka1.5311119123WSep 19 · 18:00R. Kvasnicka1.50111175113A. Schneeberger2.5088111152WSep 12 · 13:30D. Priesol2.2058111122R. Kvasnicka1.61111166113WSep 12 · 12:00R. Kvasnicka1.731111113113D. Priesol2.0015131162
A. Virag10
LSep 29 · 09:30P. Varecha1.251181211113A. Virag3.7581114992LSep 29 · 08:00P. Varecha1.301111113A. Virag3.405450WSep 29 · 07:00D. Mikula1.808950A. Virag1.911111113WSep 29 · 06:30A. Virag1.50612211133Z. Zientek2.501110119112WSep 28 · 09:00T. Kraninger1.5321191192A. Virag2.38119118113WSep 28 · 08:30A. Virag1.5011411113J. Stach2.50511491LSep 28 · 07:00A. Virag1.53114811152M. Kolek2.38711119173LSep 28 · 06:00T. Kraninger1.571111113A. Virag2.255340WSep 25 · 13:30A. Virag1.251111113V. Kocian3.757750WSep 25 · 12:00A. Virag1.2811119113V. Kocian3.50621191
Upcoming Matches
R. Kvasnicka
A. Virag
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.