TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Valeriy Melnik vs Dmytro Neborak · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Starts 23:55Scheduled
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Head to head
1 – 2
All 3 meetings · 33.3%
Last 3 · 1–2Same side
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Valeriy Melnik arrives on a run of 3 straight wins. The streak is one of the signals the engine reads.
Compare playersPrice verdict
No edgeThe price already says it
Nothing we measure separates from the price on this match.
Measured with only what was known before each match, against 100/odds and the price taken before the first serve. It says where the price misses, not who wins.
Round robin · match 6 of 15
4 of 15 playedGroup 6 of 26 on the day's ladder
Round robin before this match
Earlier matches of this round robin are still to finish: the table moves as they do.
| # | Player | W–L | Sets | To play |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valeriy MelnikThis match | 1–0 | 3–1 | 4 |
| 2 | Alexander Tuzhylin | 1–0 | 3–0 | 4 |
| 3 | Yevhen Masko | 1–0 | 3–1 | 4 |
| 4 | Evgeniy Pismenniy | 1–1 | 4–4 | 3 |
| 5 | Dmytro NeborakThis match | 0–1 | 0–3 | 4 |
| 6 | Roman Cherevko | 0–2 | 2–6 | 3 |
Rebuilt from the schedule and public results. Only matches that started earlier count.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnik 1.40 / Neborak 2.75
Setka Cup · #13266253
Melnik1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 123 of 196
Up 2–0, closes it99% 68 of 69
Up 1–0, closes it85% 94 of 111
Neborak2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 117 of 325
Down 0–1, comes back16% 31 of 189
Down 0–2, comes back8% 9 of 119
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMelnik1wins
AwayNeborak2wins
2 of 3 to a deciderNeborak leads 2–1, and 2 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melnik2Neborak1n = 3Melnik took 2 of 3
S2Melnik1Neborak2n = 3Neborak took 2 of 3
S3Melnik0Neborak3n = 3Neborak took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricMelnikNeborakM − NBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match40.345.3−5.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnikNeborakBasisWin rate · lifetime378 / 673 vs 308 / 85056.2%36.2%378 / 673 vs 308 / 850Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.135.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 6 · 19:25V. Melnik561114109123D. Neborak516121211102
LAug 23 · 19:25V. Melnik2121180D. Neborak351113113
LAug 22 · 18:25V. Melnik44111091132D. Neborak50712119113
V. Melnik10
WOct 9 · 21:55V. Melnik1.5711812113E. Pismenniy2.257111051WOct 4 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko2.6351131132V. Melnik1.44117117113WOct 4 · 18:25V. Melnik1.30111112113R. Cherevko3.40731441LOct 4 · 17:25V. Melnik1.838680Y. Masko1.831111113WOct 4 · 15:55V. Melnik1.571512113E. Pismenniy2.25131090LOct 4 · 13:55V. Melnik1.40119671R. Reznychenko2.754111183LOct 3 · 19:25O. Dukhovenko2.63912411113V. Melnik1.44111011772WOct 3 · 18:25V. Melnik1.83121162Y. Masko1.8310571WOct 3 · 17:25V. Melnik1.5310111111113E. Pismenniy2.3812671382WOct 3 · 15:55V. Melnik1.3311121273R. Reznychenko3.258141051
D. Neborak10
LOct 9 · 22:25D. Neborak4.504240A. Tuzhylin1.171111113WOct 7 · 12:50O. Shkurupii1.678111191D. Neborak2.1011713113LOct 7 · 11:20D. Neborak1.911011551O. Ivchuk1.8012611113WOct 7 · 09:20O. Bondarchuk1.33116881D. Neborak3.2561111113WOct 7 · 07:20O. Belskyi2.25111112662D. Neborak1.57711411113LOct 7 · 06:20O. Zhurba1.2061111123D. Neborak4.331152101LOct 6 · 18:00D. Neborak4.3311770O. Zhurba1.201311113WOct 6 · 16:30D. Neborak1.6111911113O. Belskyi2.20611671WOct 6 · 15:00D. Neborak1.8310111111113O. Ivchuk1.8312138892LOct 6 · 13:30D. Neborak2.208518111O. Shkurupii1.61111116133
Upcoming Matches
V. Melnik
Oct 10 · 01:25V. Melnik1.57Y. Masko2.25—Oct 10 · 02:25V. Melnik2.20A. Tuzhylin1.61—Oct 10 · 03:25V. Melnik1.61R. Cherevko2.20—Oct 10 · 13:55V. Melnik1.67Y. Masko2.10—Oct 10 · 15:55V. Melnik1.67E. Pismenniy2.10—Oct 10 · 17:25V. Melnik1.80R. Cherevko1.91—Oct 10 · 18:25V. Melnik1.40D. Neborak2.75—Oct 10 · 19:25V. Melnik2.20A. Tuzhylin1.61—
D. Neborak
Oct 10 · 00:55D. Neborak1.36E. Pismenniy3.00—Oct 10 · 01:55D. Neborak2.25R. Cherevko1.57—Oct 10 · 03:55D. Neborak2.75Y. Masko1.40—Oct 10 · 14:25D. Neborak1.36E. Pismenniy3.00—Oct 10 · 15:25D. Neborak2.38R. Cherevko1.53—Oct 10 · 16:25D. Neborak—A. Tuzhylin——Oct 10 · 18:25D. Neborak2.75V. Melnik1.40—Oct 10 · 20:25D. Neborak2.75Y. Masko1.40—
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