TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Adam Radkovsky vs Lukas Adam 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 8Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
121061112141315––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:44 and never touched: 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeLukas Adam to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Lukas Adam @ 1.67 · Won
How it is goingAdam Radkovsky above · Lukas Adam below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 13-15
Point 93 set 4, 13-15 · our read held Lukas Adam at 58.6%
93 points played in total.
H2H Adam Radkovsky 1–0 Lukas Adam Lukas Adam has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 08:4458.6%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 1.4pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Adam
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Radkovsky 1638 vs Adam 1740
Adam
Correct
both rated, 102 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Radkovsky 40% vs Adam 60%
Adam
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Radkovsky 40% vs Adam 60%
Adam
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Radkovsky +2 · Adam +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Adam) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRadkovsky 2.10 / Adam 1.666
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Adam)-1.4pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13261602
Radkovsky2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Oct 05)
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog44% won 32 of 73
Down 0–1, comes back24% 7 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 16
Adam1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 07)
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 65 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it100% 25 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it88% 45 of 51
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRadkovsky1wins
AwayAdam0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderRadkovsky leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricRadkovskyAdamR − ABasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match50.054.0−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRadkovskyAdamBasisWin rate · lifetime175 / 314 vs 275 / 53155.7%51.8%175 / 314 vs 275 / 531Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.039.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
AdamRadkovsky 2.10/Adam 1.67
Hit
What we said
58.6%
Adam · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Lukas Adam @ 1.67 · Won
What happened
1–3
Adam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 7 · 11:15A. Radkovsky50145611143L. Adam541211118122
A. Radkovsky10
WOct 8 · 11:15M. Stibor1.80761181A. Radkovsky1.9111115113LOct 8 · 10:45A. Radkovsky2.2511691192R. Pisa1.57511116113WOct 5 · 16:23O. Mezera2.25711951A. Radkovsky1.5711911113WOct 5 · 15:15A. Radkovsky1.61117111113O. Mezera2.2071151172LOct 5 · 14:15A. Radkovsky2.10118891V. Grubr1.6771111113LOct 5 · 13:15A. Radkovsky2.254570S. Rejent1.571111113LSep 28 · 16:23A. Radkovsky2.10117991M. Makara1.6741111113WSep 28 · 15:45L. Heinzl1.44118911102A. Radkovsky2.63811118123WSep 28 · 14:45M. Makara1.61119111152A. Radkovsky2.20131172113LSep 28 · 13:15S. Rejent1.7311711123A. Radkovsky2.008118101
L. Adam10
WOct 8 · 11:45L. Adam1.6731113123R. Pisa2.1011311101WOct 8 · 10:15M. Stibor1.73101080L. Adam2.001212113WOct 7 · 09:00L. Adam1.67101111113M. Ullman2.10122671WOct 7 · 08:00T. Liska2.20211681L. Adam1.6111311113LOct 7 · 07:00M. Ullman2.201114113L. Adam1.6171280WOct 7 · 05:30M. Kovarik2.387650L. Adam1.531111113LOct 2 · 08:53R. Pisa2.10411711113L. Adam1.6711811572WOct 2 · 07:15L. Adam2.00119117113O. Kaderabek1.7361171182WOct 2 · 06:15L. Adam1.401114118113M. Vyskocil2.7551691182LOct 2 · 05:15L. Adam1.6751191242R. Pisa2.101191110113
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