TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Michal Makara vs Adam Radkovsky 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1113911117112511
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:44 and never touched — 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeMichal Makara to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Michal Makara @ 1.61 · Lost
How it is goingMichal Makara above · Adam Radkovsky below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-2
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 91 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Michal Makara at 60.5%
91 points played in total.
H2H Michal Makara 2–1 Adam Radkovsky Adam Radkovsky has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 13:44What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Makara
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Makara 1654 vs Radkovsky 1629
Makara
Wrong
both rated, 24 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Makara 20% vs Radkovsky 0%
Makara
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Makara 30% vs Radkovsky 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Makara -2 · Radkovsky -6
Radkovsky
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Makara) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Radkovsky form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMakara 1.61 / Radkovsky 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Makara)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13207712
Makara1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite56% won 45 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it72% 31 of 43
Radkovsky2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 31 of 68
Down 0–1, comes back23% 6 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back13% 2 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMakara2wins
AwayRadkovsky1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderMakara leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Makara2Radkovsky1n = 3Makara took 2 of 3
S2Makara2Radkovsky1n = 3Makara took 2 of 3
S3Makara1Radkovsky2n = 3Radkovsky took 2 of 3
S4Makara3Radkovsky0n = 3Makara took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricMakaraRadkovskyM − RBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match46.041.3+4.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMakaraRadkovskyBasisWin rate · lifetime500 / 1055 vs 177 / 31547.4%56.2%500 / 1055 vs 177 / 315Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.340.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MakaraMakara 1.61/Radkovsky 2.20
Miss
What we said
60.5%
Makara · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Michal Makara @ 1.61 · Lost
What happened
2–3
Radkovsky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WAug 22 · 18:45M. Makara4491113113A. Radkovsky361171171
WAug 20 · 12:28M. Makara4311129113A. Radkovsky359101151
LAug 20 · 11:30M. Makara51131091182A. Radkovsky531112118113
M. Makara10
LSep 28 · 15:15S. Rejent1.731011811113M. Makara2.0012911862LSep 28 · 13:45M. Makara2.207360L. Heinzl1.611111113LSep 26 · 20:49L. Dobias1.61115119113M. Makara2.2081191172WSep 26 · 19:45M. Makara2.101011911113L. Dobias1.6712811682LSep 26 · 18:15J. Krames Sr1.611111113M. Makara2.205870LSep 26 · 17:45J. Chalupa1.401111113M. Makara2.751880WSep 25 · 12:53M. Makara1.9112129113R. Pisa1.8010101191LSep 25 · 11:45R. Pisa1.80881111113M. Makara1.9111117472LSep 25 · 10:45L. Rulc1.91141194113M. Makara1.80124111162LSep 25 · 09:15T. Liska1.8311811153M. Makara1.836117131
A. Radkovsky10
LSep 28 · 13:15S. Rejent1.7311711123A. Radkovsky2.008118101LSep 22 · 20:53V. Burylov1.5771111113A. Radkovsky2.25118471LSep 22 · 19:45A. Radkovsky2.1011511772V. Burylov1.67511811113LSep 22 · 18:15V. Grubr1.731111113A. Radkovsky2.009960LSep 22 · 17:45J. Chalupa1.6111811113A. Radkovsky2.20811791LSep 7 · 12:54R. Pisa1.801113113A. Radkovsky1.9181190WSep 7 · 11:15A. Radkovsky2.00145611143L. Adam1.731211118122WSep 7 · 10:15A. Radkovsky2.257111511113M. Vyskocil1.5711817872LSep 7 · 09:15A. Radkovsky1.9167111352R. Pisa1.801111711113WSep 3 · 16:48S. Rejent1.504640A. Radkovsky2.501111113
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