TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ladislav Dobias vs Michal Makara 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
118511119911117
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingLadislav Dobias above · Michal Makara below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 93 set 5, 11-7
93 points played in total.
H2H Ladislav Dobias 16–11 Michal Makara Michal Makara has won 11 of their 27 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Makara beat Dobias 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Dobias)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dobias form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDobias 1.61 / Makara 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Dobias)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13203308
Dobias1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 198 of 345
Up 2–0, closes it95% 73 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it80% 143 of 178
Makara2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 157 of 343
Down 0–1, comes back27% 48 of 180
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDobias5wins
AwayMakara5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDobias80%4 of 5
AwayMakara80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dobias5Makara5n = 10split evenly
S2Dobias3Makara7n = 10Makara took 7 of 10
S3Dobias7Makara3n = 10Dobias took 7 of 10
S4Dobias5Makara5n = 10split evenly
S5Dobias2Makara2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDobiasMakaraD − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.242.7+1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDobiasMakaraBasisWin rate · lifetime430 / 777 vs 500 / 105355.3%47.5%430 / 777 vs 500 / 1053Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match41.239.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DobiasDobias 1.61/Makara 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Dobias · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dobias won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 26 · 19:45L. Dobias4512811682M. Makara521011911113
LSep 23 · 07:45L. Dobias36791191M. Makara4211119113
WAug 24 · 08:48L. Dobias4211911113M. Makara36911791
LAug 24 · 07:45L. Dobias398121181M. Makara4411148113
WAug 7 · 08:00L. Dobias49111179113M. Makara4485111192
LJul 28 · 16:54L. Dobias581171311162M. Makara571311114183
WJul 28 · 14:45L. Dobias521191011113M. Makara4071112192
WJun 26 · 15:00L. Dobias4715129113M. Makara4013101161
WJun 24 · 06:00L. Dobias43101111113M. Makara30125671
LJun 23 · 08:44L. Dobias31751181M. Makara4211119113
L. Dobias10
LSep 26 · 19:45M. Makara2.101011911113L. Dobias1.6712811682WSep 26 · 18:45J. Chalupa1.8311117992L. Dobias1.83881111113LSep 26 · 17:15J. Sr1.8391113113L. Dobias1.831141181WSep 26 · 12:44M. Zelinka2.2598111162L. Dobias1.5711113893LSep 26 · 11:45L. Dobias1.83881181M. Zelinka1.8311114113WSep 26 · 10:15J. Sr3.0061171142L. Dobias1.36118119113WSep 26 · 09:45L. Heinzl2.2511611552L. Dobias1.57711711113LSep 23 · 08:43L. Dobias1.83111291252M. Zelinka1.835141110113LSep 23 · 07:45L. Dobias1.57791191M. Makara2.2511119113WSep 23 · 06:15V. Burylov1.91811111242L. Dobias1.80117914113
M. Makara10
WSep 26 · 19:45M. Makara2.101011911113L. Dobias1.6712811682LSep 26 · 18:15J. Sr1.611111113M. Makara2.205870LSep 26 · 17:45J. Chalupa1.401111113M. Makara2.751880WSep 25 · 12:53M. Makara1.9112129113R. Pisa1.8010101191LSep 25 · 11:45R. Pisa1.80881111113M. Makara1.9111117472LSep 25 · 10:45L. Rulc1.91141194113M. Makara1.80124111162LSep 25 · 09:15T. Liska1.8311811153M. Makara1.836117131WSep 23 · 08:21M. Makara3.25111111113V. Burylov1.33138781WSep 23 · 07:45L. Dobias1.57791191M. Makara2.2511119113LSep 23 · 06:45M. Zelinka1.801311713113M. Makara1.91159111172
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