TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Jan Krames Sr vs Michal Makara 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115118117––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:17 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeJan Krames Sr to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Krames Sr above · Michal Makara below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 53 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Jan Krames Sr at 58.9%
53 points played in total.
H2H Jan Krames Sr 25–17 Michal Makara Michal Makara has won 17 of their 42 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:17What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sr
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-17 in 42
Sr
Correct
gap of 8 in 42, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sr 1731 vs Makara 1667
Sr
Correct
both rated, 64 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sr 40% vs Makara 20%
Sr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sr 60% vs Makara 40%
Sr
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sr +2 · Makara -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Sr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Makara form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSr 1.61 / Makara 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Sr)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13196626
Sr1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite58% won 111 of 193
Up 2–0, closes it88% 63 of 72
Up 1–0, closes it76% 93 of 123
Makara2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 157 of 343
Down 0–1, comes back27% 48 of 180
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 84
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSr5wins
AwayMakara5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSr100%5 of 5
AwayMakara100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sr5Makara5n = 10split evenly
S2Sr4Makara6n = 10Makara took 6 of 10
S3Sr5Makara5n = 10split evenly
S4Sr5Makara3n = 8Sr took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSrMakaraS − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.836.7+3.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSrMakaraBasisWin rate · lifetime387 / 693 vs 499 / 105155.8%47.5%387 / 693 vs 499 / 1051Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.739.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SrSr 1.61/Makara 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 18:45J. Sr46114911113M. Makara3831111672
LAug 30 · 18:45J. Sr4898111192M. Makara46111185113
WAug 30 · 09:45J. Sr4211911113M. Makara28811631
WAug 3 · 16:43J. Sr361114113M. Makara2451270
WAug 3 · 13:45J. Sr3911611113M. Makara34611891
LJun 14 · 13:30J. Sr33815100M. Makara401117123
LJun 5 · 20:00J. Sr4181211101M. Makara4411147123
LJun 2 · 16:00J. Sr34911681M. Makara4111811113
LMay 24 · 19:45J. Sr381011891M. Makara4012611113
WMay 24 · 11:15J. Sr4111118113M. Makara32861171
J. Sr10
WSep 26 · 17:15J. Sr1.8391113113L. Dobias1.831141181WSep 26 · 12:14L. Heinzl1.577121151J. Sr2.2511149113LSep 26 · 11:15J. Sr2.202960L. Heinzl1.611111113LSep 26 · 10:15J. Sr3.0061171142L. Dobias1.36118119113LSep 26 · 09:15J. Sr1.838920M. Zelinka1.831111113LSep 18 · 20:43V. Burylov1.8311115113J. Sr1.83181131WSep 18 · 19:15A. Snr2.00671181J. Sr1.7311118113WSep 18 · 18:45J. Sr1.91111011133V. Burylov1.807128111WSep 18 · 17:45J. Sr1.831211810113L. Dobias1.83106111232WSep 15 · 20:14J. Sr1.611211113J. Dolezal2.2010770
M. Makara10
LSep 26 · 17:45J. Chalupa1.401111113M. Makara2.751880WSep 25 · 12:53M. Makara1.9112129113R. Pisa1.8010101191LSep 25 · 11:45R. Pisa1.80881111113M. Makara1.9111117472LSep 25 · 10:45L. Rulc1.91141194113M. Makara1.80124111162LSep 25 · 09:15T. Liska1.8311811153M. Makara1.836117131WSep 23 · 08:21M. Makara3.25111111113V. Burylov1.33138781WSep 23 · 07:45L. Dobias1.57791191M. Makara2.2511119113LSep 23 · 06:45M. Zelinka1.801311713113M. Makara1.91159111172LSep 23 · 05:15V. Burylov1.831111113M. Makara1.839810WSep 22 · 12:48M. Makara1.809111212123T. Liska1.911171410102
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