TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Michal Makara vs Volodymyr Burylov 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Michal Makara
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1113118117118––
Volodymyr Burylov
Away
1.33
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMichal Makara above · Volodymyr Burylov below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 80 set 4, 11-8
80 points played in total.
H2H Michal Makara 10–9 Volodymyr Burylov Volodymyr Burylov has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Burylov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burylov form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMakara 3.25 / Burylov 1.33
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Burylov)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13182430
Makara3.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog45% won 155 of 342
Down 0–1, comes back26% 47 of 182
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 85
Burylov1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite41% won 41 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it60% 30 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMakara6wins
AwayBurylov4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMakara leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMakara100%3 of 3
AwayBurylov57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Makara3Burylov7n = 10Burylov took 7 of 10
S2Makara7Burylov3n = 10Makara took 7 of 10
S3Makara4Burylov6n = 10Burylov took 6 of 10
S4Makara5Burylov1n = 6Makara took 5 of 6
S5Makara3Burylov2n = 5Makara took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMakaraBurylovM − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.240.6−2.4per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMakaraBurylovBasisWin rate · lifetime499 / 1050 vs 213 / 43047.5%49.5%499 / 1050 vs 213 / 430Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.339.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BurylovMakara 3.25/Burylov 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.3%
Burylov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Makara won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 23 · 05:15M. Makara189810V. Burylov331111113
WSep 19 · 18:45M. Makara45411711123V. Burylov44118114102
WSep 12 · 10:45M. Makara49612119113V. Burylov47111071182
WSep 4 · 12:29M. Makara341211113V. Burylov2310940
LSep 4 · 10:30M. Makara4961171692V. Burylov541171114113
LSep 1 · 06:45M. Makara2351350V. Burylov371115113
WAug 31 · 08:54M. Makara371115113V. Burylov3091380
WAug 31 · 06:45M. Makara4281111123V. Burylov371179101
WAug 30 · 19:45M. Makara44126411113V. Burylov49101111892
LAug 29 · 17:45M. Makara41101141152V. Burylov52129119113
M. Makara10
WSep 23 · 07:45L. Dobias1.57791191M. Makara2.2511119113LSep 23 · 06:45M. Zelinka1.801311713113M. Makara1.91159111172LSep 23 · 05:15V. Burylov1.831111113M. Makara1.839810WSep 22 · 12:48M. Makara1.809111212123T. Liska1.911171410102WSep 22 · 11:45T. Liska2.008101191M. Makara1.7311124113LSep 22 · 10:45L. Rulc1.80111111113M. Makara1.91813941WSep 22 · 09:15L. Adam1.67117118102M. Makara2.10911911123WSep 20 · 12:14M. Makara2.0261111113O. Kaderabek1.70117371LSep 20 · 11:45R. Pisa1.671111113M. Makara2.106990LSep 20 · 10:45O. Kaderabek1.6751111123M. Makara2.101188101
V. Burylov10
LSep 23 · 07:15V. Burylov1.8311380M. Zelinka1.831311113LSep 23 · 06:15V. Burylov1.91811111242L. Dobias1.80117914113WSep 23 · 05:15V. Burylov1.831111113M. Makara1.839810WSep 22 · 20:53V. Burylov1.5771111113A. Radkovsky2.25118471WSep 22 · 19:45A. Radkovsky2.1011511772V. Burylov1.67511811113LSep 22 · 18:45J. Chalupa1.801111113V. Burylov1.918380LSep 22 · 17:15V. Grubr2.0071111113V. Burylov1.73117581LSep 22 · 08:18L. Dobias1.7311116113V. Burylov2.00651191LSep 22 · 07:15M. Bouska1.731112113V. Burylov2.0071070WSep 22 · 06:45V. Burylov1.80127911113M. Zelinka1.91101111882
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.