TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Valerii Lukianevych vs Hennadii Buianover 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9115111113––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:57 and never touched: 60.5% is still 60.5%
Graded at full timeValerii Lukianevych to win
60.5%
60.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingValerii Lukianevych above · Hennadii Buianover below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Point 60 set 3, 11-13 · our read held Valerii Lukianevych at 60.5%
60 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Lukianevych 81–38 Hennadii Buianover Hennadii Buianover has won 38 of their 119 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:5760.5%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 3.2pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Lukianevych
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
81-38 in 119
Lukianevych
Wrong
gap of 43 in 119, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lukianevych 1237 vs Buianover 1228
Lukianevych
Wrong
both rated, 9 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lukianevych 20% vs Buianover 40%
Buianover
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lukianevych 30% vs Buianover 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lukianevych -2 · Buianover -3
Buianover
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Lukianevych) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lukianevych form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukianevych 1.571 / Buianover 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Lukianevych)-3.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13245453
Lukianevych1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 01)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 71 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it83% 52 of 63
Buianover2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 4 days ago (Oct 01)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 46 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back11% 9 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLukianevych7wins
AwayBuianover3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLukianevych leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLukianevych83.3%5 of 6
AwayBuianover50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lukianevych6Buianover4n = 10Lukianevych took 6 of 10
S2Lukianevych7Buianover3n = 10Lukianevych took 7 of 10
S3Lukianevych7Buianover3n = 10Lukianevych took 7 of 10
S4Lukianevych3Buianover4n = 7Buianover took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLukianevychBuianoverL − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.332.5+4.8per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukianevychBuianoverBasisWin rate · lifetime203 / 411 vs 159 / 39349.4%40.5%203 / 411 vs 159 / 393Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LukianevychLukianevych 1.57/Buianover 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Lukianevych · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Buianover won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 1 · 15:35V. Lukianevych52121199113H. Buianover48108111182
WSep 22 · 13:05V. Lukianevych3741111113H. Buianover27117541
LSep 16 · 15:05V. Lukianevych32711591H. Buianover3711411113
WSep 13 · 13:05V. Lukianevych4111811113H. Buianover32711591
WSep 9 · 14:35V. Lukianevych44111111113H. Buianover31137381
WSep 2 · 12:35V. Lukianevych341211113H. Buianover2510780
WSep 1 · 14:05V. Lukianevych331111113H. Buianover258980
LAug 30 · 17:55V. Lukianevych32761181H. Buianover4111118113
WAug 27 · 15:05V. Lukianevych331111113H. Buianover206860
LAug 12 · 16:05V. Lukianevych35119691H. Buianover3961111113
V. Lukianevych10
LOct 5 · 15:05V. Lukianevych2.258111011112V. Reva1.57115129133LOct 1 · 18:35V. Lukianevych1.671111712102V. Leonov2.10781114123LOct 1 · 17:05V. Lukianevych2.2071050V. Reva1.611112113WOct 1 · 15:35V. Lukianevych1.53121199113H. Buianover2.38108111182LOct 1 · 14:05V. Lukianevych1.83118881A. Azarov1.8381111113LOct 1 · 12:35V. Lukianevych2.2073140R. Serhyenko1.611111163LSep 22 · 18:35A. Sydorenko1.50111911113V. Lukianevych2.5081111592LSep 22 · 17:35V. Lukianevych2.109640V. Reva1.671111113LSep 22 · 16:35V. Lukianevych2.1011711342R. Serhyenko1.67711711113WSep 22 · 15:05V. Lukianevych1.301111133M. Karelov3.4062110
H. Buianover10
LOct 5 · 14:05M. Karelov1.9151111113H. Buianover1.80118451LOct 1 · 19:35H. Buianover2.25101111992A. Azarov1.57128411113LOct 1 · 17:35V. Leonov1.28111165123H. Buianover3.50741111102LOct 1 · 15:35V. Lukianevych1.53121199113H. Buianover2.38108111182WOct 1 · 14:35H. Buianover4.501211113R. Serhyenko1.1710750WOct 1 · 13:35V. Reva1.73711014102H. Buianover2.001181112123WSep 22 · 19:35V. Reva1.83111215482H. Buianover1.8313101311113LSep 22 · 18:05H. Buianover4.007690R. Serhyenko1.221111113LSep 22 · 16:05M. Karelov2.101111113H. Buianover1.675380WSep 22 · 14:05A. Sydorenko1.288911121H. Buianover3.5011117143
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.