TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Viktor Leonov vs Hennadii Buianover 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1171146115111210
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:29 and never touched: 76.6% is still 76.6%
Graded at full timeViktor Leonov to win
76.6%
76.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Leonov above · Hennadii Buianover below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 88 set 5, 12-10 · our read held Viktor Leonov at 76.6%
88 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Leonov 30–6 Hennadii Buianover Hennadii Buianover has won 6 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:2976.6%Our read77.8%to break even at 1.285
short by 1.2pp77.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.285 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Leonov
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
30-6 in 36
Leonov
Correct
gap of 24 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Leonov 1271 vs Buianover 1250
Leonov
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Leonov 20% vs Buianover 60%
Buianover
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Leonov 20% vs Buianover 50%
Buianover
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Leonov -4 · Buianover -1
Leonov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% · Strong (leans Leonov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Buianover form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLeonov 1.285 / Buianover 3.50
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Leonov)-1.2pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13223728
Leonov1.28
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 38 of 61
Up 2–0, closes it95% 19 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it73% 24 of 33
Buianover3.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 44 of 135
Down 0–1, comes back12% 9 of 77
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 53
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLeonov7wins
AwayBuianover3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLeonov leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLeonov83.3%5 of 6
AwayBuianover50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Leonov6Buianover4n = 10Leonov took 6 of 10
S2Leonov6Buianover4n = 10Leonov took 6 of 10
S3Leonov6Buianover4n = 10Leonov took 6 of 10
S4Leonov4Buianover2n = 6Leonov took 4 of 6
S5Leonov2Buianover1n = 3Leonov took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLeonovBuianoverL − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.832.8+5.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLeonovBuianoverBasisWin rate · lifetime81 / 140 vs 159 / 39157.9%40.7%81 / 140 vs 159 / 391Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.035.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
LeonovLeonov 1.28/Buianover 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Leonov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Leonov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 19:05V. Leonov35961191H. Buianover4211119113
WSep 9 · 15:35V. Leonov4071111113H. Buianover31117941
WSep 2 · 18:35V. Leonov4011117113H. Buianover30871141
LAug 30 · 19:55V. Leonov4311861172H. Buianover44311118113
WAug 10 · 13:35V. Leonov331111113H. Buianover206770
WAug 5 · 14:35V. Leonov43111191113H. Buianover4045111192
WJul 23 · 15:35V. Leonov50981111113H. Buianover4311118672
WJul 14 · 16:35V. Leonov341111123H. Buianover2037100
WJun 28 · 19:25V. Leonov331111113H. Buianover236980
LJun 14 · 14:55V. Leonov27107100H. Buianover351211123
V. Leonov10
LOct 1 · 16:35V. Leonov2.252101181R. Serhyenko1.5711126113LOct 1 · 15:05V. Leonov1.25106111192V. Reva3.75121169113LOct 1 · 13:05V. Leonov1.801544101A. Azarov1.91131111123LSep 24 · 18:35A. Azarov1.9191611113V. Leonov1.801114591WSep 24 · 17:35V. Leonov2.25711811113D. Boltenkov1.5711611982LSep 24 · 16:35V. Leonov1.531264111V. Sydorenko2.38101111133LSep 24 · 15:05V. Leonov2.20841161F. Chashchin1.6111119113LSep 24 · 13:05V. Leonov2.2011911472V. Slabyshev1.61811911113WSep 17 · 18:35A. Azarov1.61108111452V. Leonov2.201211812113LSep 17 · 17:35V. Leonov1.83137491V. Chumak1.83111111113
H. Buianover10
LOct 1 · 15:35V. Lukianevych1.53121199113H. Buianover2.38108111182WOct 1 · 14:35H. Buianover4.501211113R. Serhyenko1.1710750WOct 1 · 13:35V. Reva1.73711014102H. Buianover2.001181112123WSep 22 · 19:35V. Reva1.83111215482H. Buianover1.8313101311113LSep 22 · 18:05H. Buianover4.007690R. Serhyenko1.221111113LSep 22 · 16:05M. Karelov2.101111113H. Buianover1.675380WSep 22 · 14:05A. Sydorenko1.288911121H. Buianover3.5011117143LSep 22 · 13:05V. Lukianevych1.5041111113H. Buianover2.50117541WSep 16 · 19:05H. Buianover4.5011119113V. Leonov1.17961191LSep 16 · 17:05A. Sydorenko1.28122811113H. Buianover3.50101111942
Upcoming Matches
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H. Buianover
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