TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Martin Bohac vs Michal Syroha 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012119911114114
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:29 and never touched: 66.8% is still 66.8%
Graded at full timeMichal Syroha to win
66.8%
66.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMartin Bohac above · Michal Syroha below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Set 5 · 11-4
Point 92 set 5, 11-4 · our read held Michal Syroha at 66.8%
92 points played in total.
H2H Martin Bohac 1–12 Michal Syroha Martin Bohac has won 1 of their 13 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Syroha beat Bohac 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:2966.8%Our read69.0%to break even at 1.45
short by 2.2pp69.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.45 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (63%)
Syroha
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-12 in 13
Syroha
Wrong
gap of 11 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bohac 1270 vs Syroha 1310
Syroha
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bohac 40% vs Syroha 60%
Syroha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bohac 40% vs Syroha 70%
Syroha
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bohac -1 · Syroha +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% · Clear lean (leans Syroha) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBohac 2.50 / Syroha 1.45
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Syroha)-2.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13242767
Bohac2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 6 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back10% 1 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Syroha1.45
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 89 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it79% 63 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBohac0wins
AwaySyroha10wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSyroha leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBohac0%0 of 5
AwaySyroha100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bohac5Syroha5n = 10split evenly
S2Bohac0Syroha10n = 10Syroha took 10 of 10
S3Bohac4Syroha6n = 10Syroha took 6 of 10
S4Bohac2Syroha6n = 8Syroha took 6 of 8
S5Bohac0Syroha3n = 3Syroha took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBohacSyrohaB − SBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.142.8−9.7per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBohacSyrohaBasisWin rate · lifetime67 / 136 vs 354 / 70049.3%50.6%67 / 136 vs 354 / 700Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.336.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SyrohaBohac 2.50/Syroha 1.45
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.8%
Syroha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bohac won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 4 · 08:00M. Bohac47116811112M. Syroha46611115133
LJan 14 · 18:00M. Bohac301111171M. Syroha4313118113
LJan 14 · 16:00M. Bohac25105100M. Syroha351211123
LJan 10 · 19:00M. Bohac291161021M. Syroha4391112113
LNov 16 · 17:00M. Bohac351191141M. Syroha3913114113
LOct 19 · 16:30M. Bohac2481240M. Syroha361114113
LOct 11 · 07:30M. Bohac28641171M. Syroha4211119113
LOct 5 · 17:03M. Bohac48113101682M. Syroha557111214113
LOct 5 · 16:30M. Bohac3711212842M. Syroha507111011113
LSep 13 · 08:00M. Bohac28118361M. Syroha3961111113
M. Bohac10
LOct 4 · 08:00M. Syroha1.53611115133M. Bohac2.38116811112WOct 4 · 07:00J. Svec1.80311941M. Bohac1.9111711113WOct 4 · 06:30M. Bohac1.501111113J. Martinek2.503350LOct 3 · 17:00V. Hruska Sr1.8391111133M. Bohac1.831176111LOct 3 · 16:00M. Bohac2.2511060V. Hruska Sr1.571112113LOct 3 · 15:30J. Svec1.9511711123M. Bohac1.757117101LOct 3 · 14:00M. Bohac2.38912121192L. Havel1.5311101013113WSep 13 · 09:00F. Trojan1.6051111111M. Bohac2.1011135133WSep 13 · 08:30J. Svec1.8081170M. Bohac1.911113113LSep 13 · 07:30M. Bohac2.635121161M. Barta1.4411147113
M. Syroha10
WOct 4 · 08:00M. Syroha1.53611115133M. Bohac2.38116811112LOct 4 · 07:30J. Martinek3.251110117123M. Syroha1.33312711102WOct 4 · 06:00M. Syroha1.611211118113J. Svec2.2014581192WOct 3 · 20:58M. Syroha1.531111113V. Hruska Sr2.389790LOct 3 · 20:00M. Syroha2.20411711112M. Novotny1.61115118133WOct 3 · 19:30V. Hruska Sr2.005790M. Syroha1.731111113LOct 3 · 18:00M. Syroha1.531041181P. Berdych2.3812119113WOct 3 · 09:30M. Syroha2.25411119113M. Stefek1.5711851152WOct 3 · 08:30M. Syroha3.2571111113M. Barta1.33114771WOct 3 · 07:00M. Syroha2.20111257113M. Vilhan1.61610111182
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