TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Michal Syroha vs Jiri Svec 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1214115118811119
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:50 and never touched: 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeMichal Syroha to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Michal Syroha @ 1.61 · Won
How it is goingMichal Syroha above · Jiri Svec below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 100 set 5, 11-9 · our read held Michal Syroha at 60.9%
100 points played in total.
H2H Michal Syroha 23–14 Jiri Svec Jiri Svec has won 14 of their 37 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickConfirm
Sealed 04:5060.9%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 1.0pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Syroha
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
23-14 in 37
Syroha
Correct
gap of 9 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syroha 1307 vs Svec 1183
Syroha
Correct
both rated, 124 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syroha 60% vs Svec 40%
Syroha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syroha 70% vs Svec 30%
Syroha
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Syroha +1 · Svec -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Syroha) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyroha 1.615 / Svec 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Syroha)-1.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13238474
Syroha1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 89 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it94% 45 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it79% 63 of 80
Svec2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 57 of 165
Down 0–1, comes back16% 14 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSyroha5wins
AwaySvec5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyrohan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySvec55.6%5 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syroha1Svec9n = 10Svec took 9 of 10
S2Syroha6Svec4n = 10Syroha took 6 of 10
S3Syroha4Svec6n = 10Svec took 6 of 10
S4Syroha3Svec2n = 5Syroha took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSyrohaSvecSyroha − SvecBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match34.938.1−3.2per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyrohaSvecBasisWin rate · lifetime352 / 697 vs 384 / 83150.5%46.2%352 / 697 vs 384 / 831Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SyrohaSyroha 1.61/Svec 2.20
Hit
What we said
60.9%
Syroha · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Michal Syroha @ 1.61 · Won
What happened
3–2
Syroha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 26 · 17:07M. Syroha47131111123J. Svec371566101
WSep 26 · 14:00M. Syroha515111410113J. Svec44118121212
WSep 20 · 20:59M. Syroha371113133J. Svec27511110
WSep 20 · 18:30M. Syroha4481411113J. Svec391112791
LSep 12 · 16:30M. Syroha2291120J. Svec351113113
LSep 11 · 14:00M. Syroha219570J. Svec331111113
WAug 29 · 21:30M. Syroha534121212133J. Svec5611101410112
LAug 29 · 19:30M. Syroha2511680J. Svec351311113
LAug 29 · 07:00M. Syroha32411891J. Svec4211911113
LAug 28 · 17:00M. Syroha177460J. Svec331111113
M. Syroha10
LOct 4 · 07:30J. Martinek3.251110117123M. Syroha1.33312711102WOct 3 · 20:58M. Syroha1.531111113V. Hruska Sr2.389790LOct 3 · 20:00M. Syroha2.20411711112M. Novotny1.61115118133WOct 3 · 19:30V. Hruska Sr2.005790M. Syroha1.731111113LOct 3 · 18:00M. Syroha1.531041181P. Berdych2.3812119113WOct 3 · 09:30M. Syroha2.25411119113M. Stefek1.5711851152WOct 3 · 08:30M. Syroha3.2571111113M. Barta1.33114771WOct 3 · 07:00M. Syroha2.20111257113M. Vilhan1.61610111182WOct 3 · 06:00M. Stefek1.2886100M. Syroha3.501111123LOct 2 · 03:30M. Syroha1.4510870M. Vaclavik2.551211113
J. Svec10
LOct 4 · 07:00J. Svec1.80311941M. Bohac1.9111711113LOct 3 · 17:30L. Havel1.80111011113J. Svec1.91612571LOct 3 · 16:30L. Havel1.671111113J. Svec2.109880WOct 3 · 15:30J. Svec1.9511711123M. Bohac1.757117101WOct 3 · 14:30V. Hruska Sr1.53712111192J. Svec2.38111497113LSep 27 · 09:01A. Schneeberger1.531111133J. Svec2.3887110LSep 27 · 08:30J. Pleskot1.28841111123J. Svec3.50111176102LSep 27 · 07:30J. Svec2.2513691152A. Schneeberger1.571111116113LSep 27 · 06:30M. Barta1.83111159123J. Svec1.83441111102LSep 26 · 17:07M. Syroha1.67131111123J. Svec2.101566101
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