TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Michal Syroha vs Miroslav Novotny 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
4111157111181113
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:55 and never touched: 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Novotny to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Syroha above · Miroslav Novotny below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 92 set 5, 11-13 · our read held Miroslav Novotny at 58.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Michal Syroha 6–4 Miroslav Novotny Miroslav Novotny has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:5558.7%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 3.2pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Novotny
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Syroha
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syroha 1303 vs Novotny 1330
Novotny
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syroha 80% vs Novotny 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syroha 80% vs Novotny 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Syroha +1 · Novotny +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Novotny) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Novotny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyroha 2.20 / Novotny 1.615
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Novotny)-3.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13233247
Syroha2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 79 of 194
Down 0–1, comes back27% 34 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back17% 13 of 76
Novotny1.61
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite53% won 40 of 75
Up 2–0, closes it82% 22 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it72% 33 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSyroha6wins
AwayNovotny4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSyroha leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyroha80%4 of 5
AwayNovotny60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syroha5Novotny5n = 10split evenly
S2Syroha5Novotny5n = 10split evenly
S3Syroha7Novotny3n = 10Syroha took 7 of 10
S4Syroha5Novotny4n = 9Syroha took 5 of 9
S5Syroha2Novotny2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSyrohaNovotnyS − NBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.640.0−1.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyrohaNovotnyBasisWin rate · lifetime351 / 695 vs 160 / 33950.5%47.2%351 / 695 vs 160 / 339Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
NovotnySyroha 2.20/Novotny 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.7%
Novotny · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Novotny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 30 · 15:00M. Syroha3641111462M. Novotny49118811113
WAug 22 · 20:30M. Syroha3961111113M. Novotny33117961
WAug 15 · 21:30M. Syroha46116315113M. Novotny47611111362
WAug 15 · 18:30M. Syroha50891111113M. Novotny3511116612
WMay 1 · 23:30M. Syroha3712311113M. Novotny341011941
LApr 4 · 00:30M. Syroha27811261M. Novotny4211911113
WAug 2 · 20:30M. Syroha331111113M. Novotny227960
LMar 29 · 04:01M. Syroha48814115102M. Novotny541112811123
WMar 29 · 00:00M. Syroha4012512113M. Novotny3910111081
LDec 6 · 20:00M. Syroha301131241M. Novotny4591114113
M. Syroha10
WOct 3 · 20:58M. Syroha1.531111113V. Hruska Sr2.389790WOct 3 · 19:30V. Hruska Sr2.005790M. Syroha1.731111113LOct 3 · 18:00M. Syroha1.531041181P. Berdych2.3812119113WOct 3 · 09:30M. Syroha2.25411119113M. Stefek1.5711851152WOct 3 · 08:30M. Syroha3.2571111113M. Barta1.33114771WOct 3 · 07:00M. Syroha2.20111257113M. Vilhan1.61610111182WOct 3 · 06:00M. Stefek1.2886100M. Syroha3.501111123LOct 2 · 03:30M. Syroha1.4510870M. Vaclavik2.551211113WOct 2 · 01:30M. Syroha1.33711112113M. Vaclavik3.25116111042WOct 2 · 00:30A. Hejduk1.67781251M. Syroha2.10111110113
M. Novotny10
WOct 3 · 21:30P. Berdych2.454670M. Novotny1.481111113WOct 3 · 19:00P. Berdych2.7581151182M. Novotny1.40117118113LOct 3 · 18:30M. Novotny1.6791111382V. Hruska Sr2.10119811113WOct 2 · 17:30M. Vilhan1.73116100M. Novotny2.001311123WOct 2 · 16:30M. Novotny1.501111113M. Barta2.508280WOct 2 · 15:00M. Novotny2.38111198113M. Vilhan1.5399111162LOct 2 · 14:00M. Stefek1.911314113M. Novotny1.80111290WSep 30 · 21:30M. Novotny1.651310118113P. Bruzek2.10111251182WSep 30 · 20:30P. Berdych2.105680M. Novotny1.671111113WSep 30 · 19:30M. Novotny1.6111118113M. Barta2.20571191
Upcoming Matches
M. Syroha
M. Novotny
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.