TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Alexander Hejduk vs Michal Syroha 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7118111210511––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:26 and never touched: 55.2% is still 55.2%
Graded at full timeAlexander Hejduk to win
55.2%
55.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAlexander Hejduk above · Michal Syroha below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 75 set 4, 5-11 · our read held Alexander Hejduk at 55.2%
75 points played in total.
H2H Alexander Hejduk 14–7 Michal Syroha Michal Syroha has won 7 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 00:2655.2%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 4.8pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hejduk
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
14-7 in 21
Hejduk
Wrong
gap of 7 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hejduk 1159 vs Syroha 1234
Syroha
Correct
both rated, 75 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hejduk 60% vs Syroha 40%
Hejduk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hejduk 50% vs Syroha 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hejduk -1 · Syroha +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Slight lean (leans Hejduk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHejduk 1.666 / Syroha 2.10
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Hejduk)-4.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13222612
Hejduk1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 35 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it84% 26 of 31
Syroha2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 78 of 190
Down 0–1, comes back27% 33 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back16% 12 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHejduk6wins
AwaySyroha4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHejduk leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHejduk71.4%5 of 7
AwaySyroha66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hejduk7Syroha3n = 10Hejduk took 7 of 10
S2Hejduk5Syroha5n = 10split evenly
S3Hejduk6Syroha4n = 10Hejduk took 6 of 10
S4Hejduk2Syroha3n = 5Syroha took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHejdukSyrohaH − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match34.634.4+0.2per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHejdukSyrohaBasisWin rate · lifetime201 / 435 vs 346 / 69146.2%50.1%201 / 435 vs 346 / 691Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HejdukHejduk 1.67/Syroha 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.2%
Hejduk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Syroha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 12 · 02:30A. Hejduk3741111113M. Syroha30118561
WJun 4 · 22:00A. Hejduk331111113M. Syroha227960
WMay 29 · 01:00A. Hejduk44111246113M. Syroha48710111192
LJan 19 · 00:00A. Hejduk4311411982M. Syroha41311511113
WAug 4 · 03:04A. Hejduk331111113M. Syroha269890
WAug 4 · 02:00A. Hejduk43111011113M. Syroha35912861
LJul 26 · 09:00A. Hejduk38158781M. Syroha46131111113
LJul 26 · 07:30A. Hejduk167720M. Syroha331111113
LJul 2 · 01:30A. Hejduk2310670M. Syroha341211113
WMay 26 · 01:30A. Hejduk361411113M. Syroha2912980
A. Hejduk10
LOct 1 · 23:00A. Hejduk2.7551190M. Vaclavik1.401113113WOct 1 · 22:00J. Grohsgott1.53711561A. Hejduk2.3811911113LOct 1 · 08:59A. Hejduk2.1011891342J. Grohsgott1.677111111113WOct 1 · 08:30L. Novotny1.9181171172A. Hejduk1.80115117113WOct 1 · 07:30A. Hejduk2.63561311113J. Grohsgott1.44111111992LOct 1 · 06:30J. Potensky1.571111113A. Hejduk2.257950LSep 29 · 09:28M. Vaclavik1.44121112113A. Hejduk2.631091481WSep 29 · 08:30L. Forman2.75114491A. Hejduk1.4041111113LSep 29 · 07:30A. Hejduk2.504116111M. Vaclavik1.5011711133WSep 29 · 06:00L. Novotny1.80129491A. Hejduk1.91101111113
M. Syroha10
WOct 1 · 23:30J. Grohsgott1.57111188112M. Syroha2.25941111133WOct 1 · 22:30M. Syroha1.91114126133S. Mazanek1.809111011112LOct 1 · 21:00M. Varcl1.6711613113M. Syroha2.103111141LOct 1 · 20:00M. Syroha1.9111591182M. Varcl1.80911119113LOct 1 · 19:30M. Barta1.401111113M. Syroha2.759840LOct 1 · 18:00M. Syroha1.807770M. Lubas1.911111113WSep 30 · 17:03L. Havrda3.7510811101M. Syroha1.2512114123WSep 30 · 16:30M. Syroha1.2215119113L. Havrda4.001331161LSep 30 · 15:00M. Syroha1.8041111462M. Novotny1.91118811113LSep 30 · 14:00J. Grohsgott1.611111113M. Syroha2.206850
Upcoming Matches
A. Hejduk
M. Syroha
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