TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Michal Syroha vs Miloslav Lubas 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711711––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:42 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMichal Syroha to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Syroha above · Miloslav Lubas below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11 · our read held Michal Syroha at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Michal Syroha 11–11 Miloslav Lubas Dead even across their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 7–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:4254.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.6pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Syroha
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
11-11 in 22
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syroha 1254 vs Lubas 1299
Lubas
Correct
both rated, 45 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syroha 40% vs Lubas 100%
Lubas
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syroha 50% vs Lubas 80%
Lubas
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Syroha +2 · Lubas +7
Lubas
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Syroha) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lubas form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyroha 1.80 / Lubas 1.909
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Syroha)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13222639
Syroha1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 30)
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 88 of 149
Up 2–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Up 1–0, closes it78% 61 of 78
Lubas1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 25)
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 33 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSyroha7wins
AwayLubas3wins
7 of 10 to a deciderSyroha leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyroha85.7%6 of 7
AwayLubas66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syroha7Lubas3n = 10Syroha took 7 of 10
S2Syroha7Lubas3n = 10Syroha took 7 of 10
S3Syroha5Lubas5n = 10split evenly
S4Syroha1Lubas6n = 7Lubas took 6 of 7
S5Syroha5Lubas2n = 7Syroha took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSyrohaLubasS − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.939.9+2.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyrohaLubasBasisWin rate · lifetime346 / 689 vs 166 / 33750.2%49.3%346 / 689 vs 166 / 337Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.836.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SyrohaSyroha 1.80/Lubas 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Syroha · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lubas won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 19:00M. Syroha50111211882M. Lubas53914811113
WAug 13 · 20:30M. Syroha47125118113M. Lubas49101181192
WAug 1 · 11:30M. Syroha45111193113M. Lubas4276111172
LJul 12 · 17:03M. Syroha185490M. Lubas331111113
LJul 12 · 14:00M. Syroha4591261172M. Lubas481110115113
WJun 28 · 15:30M. Syroha331111113M. Lubas195680
WJun 14 · 16:30M. Syroha331111113M. Lubas126330
WSep 14 · 10:00M. Syroha49121159123M. Lubas461041111102
WMay 24 · 06:00M. Syroha521011118123M. Lubas48126911102
WMay 3 · 09:30M. Syroha47111294113M. Lubas49810111192
M. Syroha10
WSep 30 · 17:03L. Havrda3.7510811101M. Syroha1.2512114123WSep 30 · 16:30M. Syroha1.2215119113L. Havrda4.001331161LSep 30 · 15:00M. Syroha1.8041111462M. Novotny1.91118811113LSep 30 · 14:00J. Grohsgott1.611111113M. Syroha2.206850LSep 26 · 20:58M. Syroha1.73311591V. Stach2.0011811113WSep 26 · 20:00L. Havrda4.00126631M. Syroha1.22101111113LSep 26 · 19:00J. Grohsgott1.731211113M. Syroha2.0010760WSep 26 · 18:30M. Syroha2.1011137113V. Stach1.676111151WSep 26 · 17:07M. Syroha1.67131111123J. Svec2.101566101LSep 26 · 16:00M. Syroha2.0081161572J. Grohsgott1.731191113113
M. Lubas10
WOct 1 · 19:00M. Lubas2.3811811113M. Varcl1.53711761WSep 25 · 17:30M. Lubas1.731111113L. Havrda2.006530WSep 25 · 16:00L. Havrda1.80981481M. Lubas1.91111112113WSep 25 · 15:00J. Svec2.2591080M. Lubas1.571112113WSep 25 · 14:30M. Lubas1.911110118143V. Stach1.80912911122WSep 20 · 21:28J. Grohsgott1.83411851M. Lubas1.8311911113WSep 20 · 20:30M. Lubas1.7311117113J. Svec2.00591131WSep 20 · 19:00M. Lubas2.00914811113M. Syroha1.73111211882LSep 20 · 18:00J. Grohsgott2.0011124113M. Lubas1.739101181LSep 15 · 17:30V. Stach1.87111014113M. Lubas1.834121251
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