TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Alexander Hejduk vs Jiri Grohsgott 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
5116111311119119
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:28 and never touched: 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeJiri Grohsgott to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAlexander Hejduk above · Jiri Grohsgott below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 97 set 5, 11-9 · our read held Jiri Grohsgott at 65.7%
97 points played in total.
H2H Alexander Hejduk 40–44 Jiri Grohsgott Alexander Hejduk has won 40 of their 84 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:2865.7%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
short by 3.6pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Grohsgott
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
40-44 in 84
Grohsgott
Wrong
gap of 4 in 84, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hejduk 1154 vs Grohsgott 1205
Grohsgott
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hejduk 40% vs Grohsgott 20%
Hejduk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hejduk 60% vs Grohsgott 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hejduk -2 · Grohsgott -4
Grohsgott
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% · Clear lean (leans Grohsgott) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Grohsgott form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHejduk 2.625 / Grohsgott 1.444
Signal prob.34% / 66%
Edge (Grohsgott)-3.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13222640
Hejduk2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 40 of 98
Down 0–1, comes back32% 20 of 63
Down 0–2, comes back24% 8 of 33
Grohsgott1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite68% won 144 of 213
Up 2–0, closes it97% 83 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it84% 114 of 136
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHejduk3wins
AwayGrohsgott7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderGrohsgott leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHejdukn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayGrohsgott66.7%6 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hejduk1Grohsgott9n = 10Grohsgott took 9 of 10
S2Hejduk5Grohsgott5n = 10split evenly
S3Hejduk4Grohsgott6n = 10Grohsgott took 6 of 10
S4Hejduk5Grohsgott3n = 8Hejduk took 5 of 8
S5Hejduk2Grohsgott3n = 5Grohsgott took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHejdukGrohsgottH − GBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match37.542.8−5.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHejdukGrohsgottBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 431 vs 738 / 150546.2%49%199 / 431 vs 738 / 1505Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
GrohsgottHejduk 2.63/Grohsgott 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.7%
Grohsgott · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hejduk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 1 · 07:30A. Hejduk46561311113J. Grohsgott51111111992
LSep 4 · 01:30A. Hejduk226880J. Grohsgott331111113
WAug 31 · 02:00A. Hejduk4071111113J. Grohsgott31115871
LAug 27 · 07:30A. Hejduk196580J. Grohsgott331111113
LAug 25 · 23:00A. Hejduk47711111082J. Grohsgott49117812113
LAug 23 · 13:28A. Hejduk364161151J. Grohsgott4511185113
LAug 23 · 11:30A. Hejduk4591161182J. Grohsgott46114119113
LJul 29 · 02:30A. Hejduk337111141J. Grohsgott4411913113
LJul 27 · 00:30A. Hejduk4411781172J. Grohsgott50911118113
WJul 23 · 23:30A. Hejduk43612311113J. Grohsgott46111011682
A. Hejduk10
WOct 1 · 08:30L. Novotny1.9181171172A. Hejduk1.80115117113LOct 1 · 06:30J. Potensky1.571111113A. Hejduk2.257950LSep 29 · 09:28M. Vaclavik1.44121112113A. Hejduk2.631091481WSep 29 · 08:30L. Forman2.75114491A. Hejduk1.4041111113LSep 29 · 07:30A. Hejduk2.504116111M. Vaclavik1.5011711133WSep 29 · 06:00L. Novotny1.80129491A. Hejduk1.91101111113WSep 16 · 09:30A. Hejduk1.3551111113J. Vrba3.00115461WSep 16 · 08:30L. Forman2.63511551A. Hejduk1.4411911113WSep 16 · 07:30A. Hejduk1.611111133J. Cernik2.2049110WSep 16 · 06:30J. Vrba4.0013611852A. Hejduk1.221111911113
J. Grohsgott10
LOct 1 · 08:00J. Grohsgott1.61661181J. Potensky2.2011113113LOct 1 · 06:00J. Grohsgott1.4011591192L. Novotny2.75611119113LSep 30 · 17:30M. Novotny1.30111011113J. Grohsgott3.10712651LSep 30 · 16:00J. Grohsgott3.006101171M. Novotny1.3611125113LSep 30 · 15:30L. Havrda1.7311911113J. Grohsgott2.00611771WSep 30 · 14:00J. Grohsgott1.611111113M. Syroha2.206850WSep 28 · 03:30J. Cernik2.609250J. Grohsgott1.451111113WSep 28 · 02:30J. Grohsgott1.8011117113J. Potensky1.90581191WSep 28 · 01:30M. Vaclavik1.73168851J. Grohsgott2.00141111113WSep 28 · 00:00J. Grohsgott1.501111143V. Stach2.5037120
Upcoming Matches
A. Hejduk
J. Grohsgott
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.