TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Michal Syroha vs Martin Vilhan 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1161210511711118
Martin Vilhan
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:58 and never touched: 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeMartin Vilhan to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Syroha above · Martin Vilhan below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 92 set 5, 11-8 · our read held Martin Vilhan at 57.7%
92 points played in total.
H2H Michal Syroha 1–0 Martin Vilhan Martin Vilhan has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:5857.7%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 4.2pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vilhan
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Syroha 1275 vs Vilhan 1399
Vilhan
Wrong
both rated, 124 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syroha 80% vs Vilhan 60%
Syroha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syroha 50% vs Vilhan 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Syroha +1 · Vilhan +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Vilhan) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syroha form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyroha 2.20 / Vilhan 1.615
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Vilhan)-4.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13233447
Syroha2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog41% won 79 of 194
Down 0–1, comes back27% 34 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back17% 13 of 76
Vilhan1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSyroha1wins
AwayVilhan0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderSyroha leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSyrohaVilhanS − VBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match46.046.00.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyrohaVilhanBasisWin rate · lifetime348 / 691 vs 3 / 650.4%50%348 / 691 vs 3 / 6Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.741.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VilhanSyroha 2.20/Vilhan 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Vilhan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Syroha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WOct 3 · 07:00M. Syroha46111257113M. Vilhan46610111182
M. Syroha10
WOct 3 · 06:00M. Stefek1.2886100M. Syroha3.501111123LOct 2 · 03:30M. Syroha1.4510870M. Vaclavik2.551211113WOct 2 · 01:30M. Syroha1.33711112113M. Vaclavik3.25116111042WOct 2 · 00:30A. Hejduk1.67781251M. Syroha2.10111110113WOct 1 · 23:30J. Grohsgott1.57111188112M. Syroha2.25941111133WOct 1 · 22:30M. Syroha1.91114126133S. Mazanek1.809111011112LOct 1 · 21:00M. Varcl1.6711613113M. Syroha2.103111141LOct 1 · 20:00M. Syroha1.9111591182M. Varcl1.80911119113LOct 1 · 19:30M. Barta1.401111113M. Syroha2.759840LOct 1 · 18:00M. Syroha1.807770M. Lubas1.911111113
M. Vilhan10
WOct 3 · 06:30M. Vilhan1.571311143M. Barta2.25118120LOct 2 · 17:30M. Vilhan1.73116100M. Novotny2.001311123WOct 2 · 16:00M. Stefek1.679950M. Vilhan2.101111113LOct 2 · 15:00M. Novotny2.38111198113M. Vilhan1.5399111162WOct 2 · 14:30M. Vilhan1.61119118173M. Barta2.20811611152LJul 13 · 17:00M. Vilhan2.2011811982M. Longin1.61911811113WJul 13 · 16:30M. Vilhan1.67131162113P. Vojtech2.10118111172LJul 13 · 15:00M. Vilhan1.838560V. Nohejl1.831111113WJul 13 · 14:00M. Longin1.4075100M. Vilhan2.751111123LJul 10 · 21:06J. Moravek—1111113M. Vilhan—9180
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