TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Martin Vilhan vs Miroslav Barta 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 3Finished
Martin Vilhan
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
13111181412––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:27 and never touched: 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeMartin Vilhan to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMartin Vilhan above · Miroslav Barta below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 14-12
Point 69 set 3, 14-12 · our read held Martin Vilhan at 58.9%
69 points played in total.
H2H Martin Vilhan 2–0 Miroslav Barta Miroslav Barta has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:2758.9%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 4.8pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Vilhan
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vilhan 1399 vs Barta 1326
Vilhan
Correct
both rated, 73 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vilhan 40% vs Barta 60%
Barta
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vilhan 40% vs Barta 80%
Barta
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vilhan -1 · Barta +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% · Slight lean (leans Vilhan) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barta form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVilhan 1.571 / Barta 2.25
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Vilhan)-4.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13233448
Vilhan1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Barta2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 66 of 169
Down 0–1, comes back24% 24 of 102
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVilhan2wins
AwayBarta0wins
1 of 2 to a deciderVilhan leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricVilhanBartaV − BBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match47.041.0+6.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVilhanBartaBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 6 vs 252 / 53950%46.8%3 / 6 vs 252 / 539Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match41.036.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VilhanVilhan 1.57/Barta 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Vilhan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vilhan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WOct 3 · 06:30M. Vilhan381311143M. Barta31118120
WOct 2 · 14:30M. Vilhan56119118173M. Barta51811611152
M. Vilhan10
LOct 3 · 07:00M. Syroha2.20111257113M. Vilhan1.61610111182LOct 2 · 17:30M. Vilhan1.73116100M. Novotny2.001311123WOct 2 · 16:00M. Stefek1.679950M. Vilhan2.101111113LOct 2 · 15:00M. Novotny2.38111198113M. Vilhan1.5399111162WOct 2 · 14:30M. Vilhan1.61119118173M. Barta2.20811611152LJul 13 · 17:00M. Vilhan2.2011811982M. Longin1.61911811113WJul 13 · 16:30M. Vilhan1.67131162113P. Vojtech2.10118111172LJul 13 · 15:00M. Vilhan1.838560V. Nohejl1.831111113WJul 13 · 14:00M. Longin1.4075100M. Vilhan2.751111123LJul 10 · 21:06J. Moravek—1111113M. Vilhan—9180
M. Barta10
WOct 2 · 17:00M. Stefek1.701151071M. Barta2.0581112113LOct 2 · 16:30M. Novotny1.501111113M. Barta2.508280WOct 2 · 15:30M. Barta2.10115720113M. Stefek1.67511111892LOct 2 · 14:30M. Vilhan1.61119118173M. Barta2.20811611152WOct 1 · 21:30M. Barta1.4016129113M. Lubas2.7514101131WOct 1 · 20:30M. Lubas2.38101170M. Barta1.531213113WOct 1 · 19:30M. Barta1.401111113M. Syroha2.759840WOct 1 · 18:30M. Varcl1.73116841M. Barta2.0061111113WSep 30 · 21:00M. Barta2.5081111113P. Berdych1.50115461WSep 30 · 20:00M. Barta2.5071111113P. Bruzek1.50119891
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