TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Miroslav Barta vs Miloslav Lubas 3-1 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
16141210911113––
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:21 and never touched: 62.3% is still 62.3%
Graded at full timeMiroslav Barta to win
62.3%
62.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslav Barta above · Miloslav Lubas below
Set 1 · 16-14
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 86 set 4, 11-3 · our read held Miroslav Barta at 62.3%
86 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Barta 11–8 Miloslav Lubas Miloslav Lubas has won 8 of their 19 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Barta beat Lubas 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:2162.3%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 9.1pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Barta
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
11-8 in 19
Barta
Correct
gap of 3 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Barta 1325 vs Lubas 1309
Barta
Correct
both rated, 16 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barta 100% vs Lubas 80%
Barta
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barta 60% vs Lubas 90%
Lubas
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Barta +5 · Lubas -1
Barta
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% · Clear lean (leans Barta) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lubas form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarta 1.40 / Lubas 2.75
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Barta)-9.1pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13229948
Barta1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite61% won 71 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it81% 46 of 57
Lubas2.75
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog49% won 33 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back27% 9 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBarta7wins
AwayLubas3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderBarta leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBarta83.3%5 of 6
AwayLubas50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Barta6Lubas4n = 10Barta took 6 of 10
S2Barta8Lubas2n = 10Barta took 8 of 10
S3Barta5Lubas5n = 10split evenly
S4Barta3Lubas3n = 6split evenly
S5Barta2Lubas1n = 3Barta took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartaLubasB − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.534.2+3.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartaLubasBasisWin rate · lifetime249 / 533 vs 165 / 33646.7%49.1%249 / 533 vs 165 / 336Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.136.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BartaBarta 1.40/Lubas 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.3%
Barta · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Barta won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 1 · 20:30M. Barta361213113M. Lubas28101170
WAug 8 · 14:30M. Barta48961111113M. Lubas4411119762
WJul 12 · 15:00M. Barta4181111113M. Lubas23114351
WJun 28 · 14:30M. Barta331111113M. Lubas236980
LJun 24 · 15:00M. Barta217860M. Lubas331111113
WJun 14 · 17:00M. Barta331111113M. Lubas199460
LJun 14 · 14:00M. Barta31911921M. Lubas3911611113
LJun 3 · 16:59M. Barta44111110392M. Lubas46841211113
WJun 3 · 16:00M. Barta511111126113M. Lubas5199141182
WMar 30 · 21:28M. Barta3712113113M. Lubas361061191
M. Barta10
WOct 1 · 20:30M. Lubas2.38101170M. Barta1.531213113WOct 1 · 19:30M. Barta1.401111113M. Syroha2.759840WOct 1 · 18:30M. Varcl1.73116841M. Barta2.0061111113WSep 30 · 21:00M. Barta2.5081111113P. Berdych1.50115461WSep 30 · 20:00M. Barta2.5071111113P. Bruzek1.50119891LSep 30 · 19:30M. Novotny1.6111118113M. Barta2.20571191LSep 30 · 18:00M. Barta2.508950P. Berdych1.501111113LSep 27 · 09:30J. Pleskot1.80791311113M. Barta1.91111111832WSep 27 · 08:00A. Schneeberger1.80781411102M. Barta1.911111126123LSep 27 · 07:00J. Pleskot1.83711116113M. Barta1.8311681172
M. Lubas10
LOct 1 · 20:30M. Lubas2.38101170M. Barta1.531213113WOct 1 · 19:00M. Lubas2.3811811113M. Varcl1.53711761WOct 1 · 18:00M. Syroha1.807770M. Lubas1.911111113WSep 25 · 17:30M. Lubas1.731111113L. Havrda2.006530WSep 25 · 16:00L. Havrda1.80981481M. Lubas1.91111112113WSep 25 · 15:00J. Svec2.2591080M. Lubas1.571112113WSep 25 · 14:30M. Lubas1.911110118143V. Stach1.80912911122WSep 20 · 21:28J. Grohsgott1.83411851M. Lubas1.8311911113WSep 20 · 20:30M. Lubas1.7311117113J. Svec2.00591131WSep 20 · 19:00M. Lubas2.00914811113M. Syroha1.73111211882
Upcoming Matches
M. Barta
M. Lubas
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.