Martin Vilhan vs Miroslav Barta 3-2

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga Pro

Played Oct 2Finished

Martin Vilhan

Home

1.62

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

Final

3 – 2

Set by set

1189111168111715

Miroslav Barta

Away

2.20

At publish

Won last 6

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 6

The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:29 and never touched: 60.5% is still 60.5%

Graded at full time

Martin Vilhan to win

60.5%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingMartin Vilhan above · Miroslav Barta below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 11-6

Set 4 · 8-11

Set 5 · 17-15

Point 107 set 5, 17-15 · our read held Martin Vilhan at 60.5%

107 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 14:29

60.5%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615

short by 1.4pp

61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.61 (58%)

Vilhan

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Vilhan 1415 vs Barta 1336

Vilhan

Correct

both rated, 79 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Vilhan 40% vs Barta 100%

Barta

Wrong

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Vilhan 40% vs Barta 70%

Barta

Wrong

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Vilhan -1 · Barta +6

Barta

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Vilhan) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Barta form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsVilhan 1.615 / Barta 2.20

Signal prob.61% / 40%

Edge (Vilhan)-1.4pp (anti-value)

Czech Liga Pro · #13228013

Vilhan1.61

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Last match: 446 days ago (Jul 13) · back after a break

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

Barta2.20

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 6

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog39% won 67 of 171

Down 0–1, comes back24% 25 of 103

Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 56

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricVilhanBartaBasisWin rate · lifetime31 / 60 vs 250 / 53451.7%46.8%31 / 60 vs 250 / 534Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.236.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Vilhan

Vilhan 1.61/Barta 2.20

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

60.5%

Vilhan · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–2

Vilhan won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

M. Vilhan10