TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jiri Svec vs Martin Bohac 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
311117911411––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:53 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJiri Svec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJiri Svec above · Martin Bohac below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 67 set 4, 4-11 · our read held Jiri Svec at 54.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Svec 5–3 Martin Bohac Martin Bohac has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:5354.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80
short by 1.6pp55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Svec
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Svec
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Svec 1167 vs Bohac 1280
Bohac
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Svec 40% vs Bohac 20%
Svec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Svec 20% vs Bohac 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Svec -3 · Bohac +1
Svec
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Svec) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bohac form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSvec 1.80 / Bohac 1.909
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Svec)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13238914
Svec1.80
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 51 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it81% 38 of 47
Bohac1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 6 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back10% 1 of 10
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeSvec5wins
AwayBohac3wins
3 of 8 to a deciderSvec leads 5–3, and 3 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSvec75%3 of 4
AwayBohac50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Svec4Bohac4n = 8split evenly
S2Svec3Bohac5n = 8Bohac took 5 of 8
S3Svec5Bohac3n = 8Svec took 5 of 8
S4Svec4Bohac2n = 6Svec took 4 of 6
S5Svec2Bohac1n = 3Svec took 2 of 3
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home225%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away113%
These 8 meetings
MetricSvecBohacS − BBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set440of 8Avg pointsper match41.240.0+1.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSvecBohacBasisWin rate · lifetime384 / 833 vs 67 / 13546.1%49.6%384 / 833 vs 67 / 135Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SvecSvec 1.80/Bohac 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Svec · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bohac won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LOct 4 · 07:00J. Svec27311941M. Bohac4011711113
WOct 3 · 15:30J. Svec4111711123M. Bohac357117101
LSep 13 · 08:30J. Svec2681170M. Bohac351113113
WSep 13 · 09:00J. Svec331111113M. Bohac195770
WSep 13 · 07:00J. Svec4291111113M. Bohac29117741
WJun 1 · 09:07J. Svec5611121110123M. Bohac51814712102
LJun 1 · 06:00J. Svec47111181162M. Bohac52813119113
WApr 19 · 15:00J. Svec585201111113M. Bohac5911229892
J. Svec10
LOct 4 · 06:00M. Syroha1.611211118113J. Svec2.2014581192LOct 3 · 17:30L. Havel1.80111011113J. Svec1.91612571LOct 3 · 16:30L. Havel1.671111113J. Svec2.109880WOct 3 · 15:30J. Svec1.9511711123M. Bohac1.757117101WOct 3 · 14:30V. Hruska Sr1.53712111192J. Svec2.38111497113LSep 27 · 09:01A. Schneeberger1.531111133J. Svec2.3887110LSep 27 · 08:30J. Pleskot1.28841111123J. Svec3.50111176102LSep 27 · 07:30J. Svec2.2513691152A. Schneeberger1.571111116113LSep 27 · 06:30M. Barta1.83111159123J. Svec1.83441111102LSep 26 · 17:07M. Syroha1.67131111123J. Svec2.101566101
M. Bohac10
WOct 4 · 06:30M. Bohac1.501111113J. Martinek2.503350LOct 3 · 17:00V. Hruska Sr1.8391111133M. Bohac1.831176111LOct 3 · 16:00M. Bohac2.2511060V. Hruska Sr1.571112113LOct 3 · 15:30J. Svec1.9511711123M. Bohac1.757117101LOct 3 · 14:00M. Bohac2.38912121192L. Havel1.5311101013113WSep 13 · 09:00F. Trojan1.6051111111M. Bohac2.1011135133WSep 13 · 08:30J. Svec1.8081170M. Bohac1.911113113LSep 13 · 07:30M. Bohac2.635121161M. Barta1.4411147113LSep 13 · 06:30F. Trojan1.671112113M. Bohac2.1031090LAug 21 · 13:30M. Bohac1.738860M. Chalupnicek2.001111113
Upcoming Matches
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