TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Dariusz Maszczynski vs Dawid Pyrek 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 11
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1161012116611911
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:35 and never touched: 77.1% is still 77.1%
Graded at full timeDawid Pyrek to win
77.1%
77.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingDariusz Maszczynski above · Dawid Pyrek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 93 set 5, 9-11 · our read held Dawid Pyrek at 77.1%
93 points played in total.
H2H Dariusz Maszczynski 0–5 Dawid Pyrek Dariusz Maszczynski has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:3577.1%Our read77.8%to break even at 1.285
short by 0.7pp77.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.285 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Pyrek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-5 in 5
Pyrek
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maszczynski 1076 vs Pyrek 1298
Pyrek
Correct
both rated, 222 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maszczynski 0% vs Pyrek 20%
Pyrek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maszczynski 0% vs Pyrek 30%
Pyrek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maszczynski -11 · Pyrek -1
Maszczynski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% · Strong (leans Pyrek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pyrek form (20%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaszczynski 3.50 / Pyrek 1.285
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Pyrek)-0.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13238493
Maszczynski3.50
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 28)
Lost last 11
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog23% won 68 of 299
Down 0–1, comes back12% 24 of 205
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 136
Pyrek1.28
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 14 days ago (Sep 20) · back after a break
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 83 of 135
Up 2–0, closes it96% 51 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it83% 66 of 80
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeMaszczynski0wins
AwayPyrek5wins
Pyrek leads 5–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaszczynskin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPyrek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maszczynski2Pyrek3n = 5Pyrek took 3 of 5
S2Maszczynski0Pyrek5n = 5Pyrek took 5 of 5
S3Maszczynski0Pyrek5n = 5Pyrek took 5 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away360%
These 5 meetings
MetricMaszczynskiPyrekM − PBasisWins05−5in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match24.836.2−11.4per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaszczynskiPyrekBasisWin rate · lifetime101 / 466 vs 374 / 76621.7%48.8%101 / 466 vs 374 / 766Avg sets wonper match1.31.9per matchAvg pointsper match33.436.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PyrekMaszczynski 3.50/Pyrek 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.1%
Pyrek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Pyrek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJul 13 · 06:45D. Maszczynski2510780D. Pyrek341211113
LMay 11 · 17:10D. Maszczynski2661190D. Pyrek351113113
LMay 4 · 18:25D. Maszczynski173590D. Pyrek331111113
LJan 19 · 19:45D. Maszczynski23113811D. Pyrek3851111113
LNov 29 · 19:00D. Maszczynski33116881D. Pyrek4181111113
D. Maszczynski10
LOct 3 · 16:55D. Maszczynski5.00111141162A. Fomin1.14139119113LSep 28 · 20:00J. Cyndera1.5291111113D. Maszczynski2.40118971LSep 28 · 19:10A. Kubiak1.4081111113D. Maszczynski2.70115571LSep 28 · 18:25D. Maszczynski2.957970A. Staniczek1.361111113LSep 28 · 16:50D. Maszczynski5.75981191J. Zelezik1.1211114113LSep 28 · 16:00P. Gesiarz1.27111278113D. Maszczynski3.35610111132LSep 21 · 20:00J. Cyndera1.3711137133D. Maszczynski2.8051111111LSep 21 · 19:10M. Warzecha1.181111113D. Maszczynski4.258740LSep 21 · 18:25D. Maszczynski2.251110771A. Staniczek1.5471211113LSep 21 · 16:50D. Maszczynski3.40691341A. Kubiak1.28111111113
D. Pyrek10
WOct 3 · 16:35D. Pyrek2.50133119113M. Karpiuk1.50111181182LSep 20 · 02:20D. Pyrek1.868118131J. Skorupa1.8011911153WSep 20 · 00:45A. Kubiak1.8561060D. Pyrek1.851112113LSep 20 · 00:00A. Fomin1.5713811113D. Pyrek2.251111841LSep 19 · 23:10D. Pyrek2.956370H. Tkaczyk1.361111113LSep 19 · 22:00D. Pyrek3.605560M. Guzik1.181111113LSep 19 · 20:20D. Pyrek1.86861131J. Skorupa1.8011119113WSep 19 · 18:45A. Kubiak1.956111181D. Pyrek1.7511413113LSep 19 · 18:00M. Guzik1.251112113D. Pyrek3.6081050LSep 19 · 17:10D. Pyrek2.90114761H. Tkaczyk1.3561111113
Upcoming Matches
D. Maszczynski
Oct 3 · 17:45D. Maszczynski4.00G. Mucha1.22—Oct 3 · 18:30D. Maszczynski2.75P. Gesiarz1.40—Oct 3 · 20:05D. Maszczynski3.50M. Karpiuk1.28—Oct 3 · 21:45D. Maszczynski4.00G. Mucha1.22—Oct 3 · 22:55D. Maszczynski—A. Fomin——Oct 3 · 23:45D. Maszczynski3.50D. Pyrek1.28—Oct 4 · 00:35D. Maszczynski2.50P. Gesiarz1.50—Oct 4 · 02:10D. Maszczynski—M. Karpiuk——
D. Pyrek
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