TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Radek Sedlacek vs Jakub Volny 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111195111171210
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:35 and never touched: 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeRadek Sedlacek to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Sedlacek above · Jakub Volny below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 95 set 5, 12-10 · our read held Radek Sedlacek at 59.7%
95 points played in total.
H2H Radek Sedlacek 1–0 Jakub Volny Jakub Volny has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:3559.7%Our read63.7%to break even at 1.571
short by 4.0pp63.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.571 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Sedlacek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sedlacek 1562 vs Volny 1487
Sedlacek
Correct
both rated, 74 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sedlacek 20% vs Volny 40%
Volny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sedlacek 50% vs Volny 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sedlacek -1 · Volny -3
Volny
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Sedlacek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sedlacek form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedlacek 1.571 / Volny 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Sedlacek)-4.0pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13236222
Sedlacek1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite49% won 43 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it79% 15 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it66% 27 of 41
Volny2.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 41 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back24% 13 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSedlacek1wins
AwayVolny0wins
Sedlacek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSedlacekVolnyS − VBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match41.033.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedlacekVolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime160 / 342 vs 177 / 37146.8%47.7%160 / 342 vs 177 / 371Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SedlacekSedlacek 1.57/Volny 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Sedlacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sedlacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJun 12 · 12:15R. Sedlacek4111811113J. Volny33711871
R. Sedlacek10
WOct 3 · 11:40R. Sedlacek1.67116611143A. Kanak2.10811115122LOct 3 · 09:40R. Sedlacek1.50911101172M. Raska2.50117128113WOct 2 · 08:50L. Lasota1.835111191R. Sedlacek1.8311613113LOct 2 · 07:45R. Sedlacek1.53611118102E. Precek2.38113811123LOct 2 · 06:45R. Sedlacek1.831155101L. Lasota1.8361111123LOct 2 · 05:45R. Sedlacek1.36117101132M. Raska3.00811127113WSep 30 · 09:09R. Sedlacek2.001191110113R. Benes1.7351161292WSep 30 · 07:40R. Sedlacek2.0041112113R. Benes1.731171061LSep 30 · 06:40R. Sedlacek1.61117111162T. Kindl2.20411139113WSep 30 · 05:40R. Sedlacek1.8312911113D. Pawlik1.831011871
J. Volny10
LOct 3 · 10:10A. Kanak1.5711111210123J. Volny2.251351012102LSep 28 · 13:10J. Volny2.2568121172P. Vinansky1.571111108113LSep 28 · 12:15J. Volny1.808750L. Lasota1.911111113WSep 28 · 10:45P. Vinansky1.36661191J. Volny3.0011116113WSep 28 · 10:15D. Vitasek1.91711691J. Volny1.8011311113LSep 27 · 17:09J. Volny2.2511771192L. Dzida1.57611119113WSep 27 · 16:15J. Volny2.201113113A. Cizek1.6181140WSep 27 · 14:45T. Molin1.53126119122J. Volny2.381011411143WSep 27 · 14:15L. Dzida1.4011912782J. Volny2.759111011113LSep 26 · 12:46T. Lysek1.3313811133J. Volny3.2511119111
Upcoming Matches
R. Sedlacek
J. Volny
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