TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Radek Sedlacek vs Adam Kanak 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1186116111151412
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:39 and never touched: 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeRadek Sedlacek to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Sedlacek above · Adam Kanak below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 10-7
Point 86 set 5, 10-7 · our read held Radek Sedlacek at 55.8%
86 points drawn · the score is 9 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:3955.8%Our read60.0%to break even at 1.666
short by 4.2pp60.0% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.666 they are the same number)
What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sedlacek
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Sedlacek 1570 vs Kanak 1573
Kanak
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sedlacek 40% vs Kanak 80%
Kanak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sedlacek 50% vs Kanak 70%
Kanak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sedlacek +1 · Kanak +4
Kanak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% · Slight lean (leans Sedlacek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kanak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSedlacek 1.666 / Kanak 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Sedlacek)-4.2pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13235970
Sedlacek1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite49% won 43 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it79% 15 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it66% 27 of 41
Kanak2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog61% won 34 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back39% 11 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSedlacekKanakBasisWin rate · lifetime161 / 343 vs 86 / 15646.9%55.1%161 / 343 vs 86 / 156Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SedlacekSedlacek 1.67/Kanak 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Sedlacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sedlacek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
R. Sedlacek10
WOct 3 · 10:40R. Sedlacek1.57811511123J. Volny2.25119117102LOct 3 · 09:40R. Sedlacek1.50911101172M. Raska2.50117128113WOct 2 · 08:50L. Lasota1.835111191R. Sedlacek1.8311613113LOct 2 · 07:45R. Sedlacek1.53611118102E. Precek2.38113811123LOct 2 · 06:45R. Sedlacek1.831155101L. Lasota1.8361111123LOct 2 · 05:45R. Sedlacek1.36117101132M. Raska3.00811127113WSep 30 · 09:09R. Sedlacek2.001191110113R. Benes1.7351161292WSep 30 · 07:40R. Sedlacek2.0041112113R. Benes1.731171061LSep 30 · 06:40R. Sedlacek1.61117111162T. Kindl2.20411139113WSep 30 · 05:40R. Sedlacek1.8312911113D. Pawlik1.831011871
A. Kanak10
WOct 3 · 11:10M. Raska2.38113111192A. Kanak1.53911713113WOct 3 · 10:10A. Kanak1.5711111210123J. Volny2.251351012102WOct 1 · 17:30L. Dzida1.7391080A. Kanak2.001112113WOct 1 · 15:45A. Kanak2.001111911113M. Moravec1.7313711792LOct 1 · 14:45A. Kanak2.0061340L. Dzida1.731115113WOct 1 · 13:45A. Kanak1.53101113113V. Konvicka2.381271191LSep 28 · 17:10A. Kanak2.0061260R. Benes1.731114113WSep 28 · 16:10A. Kanak1.671112173D. Pawlik2.10810150WSep 28 · 14:40K. Kleprlik1.44811381A. Kanak2.6311111113LSep 28 · 14:10R. Benes1.737111111113A. Kanak2.0011171362
Upcoming Matches
R. Sedlacek
A. Kanak
Nothing scheduled
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