TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yevhen Skorobahatyi vs Oleh Kuzyshyn 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114113118––––
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:19 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYevhen Skorobahatyi to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingYevhen Skorobahatyi above · Oleh Kuzyshyn below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 48 set 3, 11-8 · our read held Yevhen Skorobahatyi at 54.0%
48 points played in total.
H2H Yevhen Skorobahatyi 9–4 Oleh Kuzyshyn Oleh Kuzyshyn has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:1954.0%Our read57.9%to break even at 1.727
short by 3.9pp57.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.727 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Skorobahatyi
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
9-4 in 13
Skorobahatyi
Correct
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skorobahatyi 1500 vs Kuzyshyn 1691
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
both rated, 191 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skorobahatyi 0% vs Kuzyshyn 80%
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skorobahatyi 20% vs Kuzyshyn 90%
Kuzyshyn
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skorobahatyi -7 · Kuzyshyn +1
Skorobahatyi
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Skorobahatyi) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzyshyn form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkorobahatyi 1.727 / Kuzyshyn 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Skorobahatyi)-3.9pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13234317
Skorobahatyi1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 17 days ago (Sep 16) · back after a break
Lost last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 18 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it73% 16 of 22
Kuzyshyn2.00
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 30)
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog41% won 31 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back24% 8 of 34
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkorobahatyi7wins
AwayKuzyshyn3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSkorobahatyi leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkorobahatyi100%7 of 7
AwayKuzyshyn100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skorobahatyi7Kuzyshyn3n = 10Skorobahatyi took 7 of 10
S2Skorobahatyi9Kuzyshyn1n = 10Skorobahatyi took 9 of 10
S3Skorobahatyi7Kuzyshyn2n = 9Skorobahatyi took 7 of 9
S4Skorobahatyi2Kuzyshyn1n = 3Skorobahatyi took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home770%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkorobahatyiKuzyshynS − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.930.4+6.5per matchSweeps70+73–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkorobahatyiKuzyshynBasisWin rate · lifetime126 / 273 vs 233 / 43946.2%53.1%126 / 273 vs 233 / 439Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SkorobahatyiSkorobahatyi 1.73/Kuzyshyn 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Skorobahatyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Skorobahatyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 16 · 16:40Y. Skorobahatyi44411101272O. Kuzyshyn511171210113
WAug 7 · 10:50Y. Skorobahatyi371115113O. Kuzyshyn2451360
WJul 25 · 11:10Y. Skorobahatyi331111113O. Kuzyshyn208930
LJul 3 · 08:50Y. Skorobahatyi27811531O. Kuzyshyn3811511113
WApr 11 · 09:50Y. Skorobahatyi331111113O. Kuzyshyn227780
LApr 10 · 17:50Y. Skorobahatyi5377111992O. Kuzyshyn531111317113
WSep 21 · 06:30Y. Skorobahatyi341112113O. Kuzyshyn2361070
WSep 14 · 07:30Y. Skorobahatyi331111113O. Kuzyshyn184860
WSep 13 · 16:10Y. Skorobahatyi381115123O. Kuzyshyn25213100
Y. Skorobahatyi10
LOct 3 · 12:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.61951191Y. Holoborodko2.2011116113LSep 16 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn2.251171210113Y. Skorobahatyi1.57411101272LSep 16 · 16:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.50612111162Y. Holoborodko2.50111437113LSep 16 · 14:40Y. Skorobahatyi1.91117127102D. Habrelyan1.809111011123LSep 16 · 13:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.5311116862V. Merzlikin2.38641111113LSep 16 · 11:10Y. Skorobahatyi2.2510940A. Zozulia1.571211113LSep 12 · 16:40Y. Skorobahatyi1.50137751V. Merzlikin2.50111111113LSep 12 · 15:10Y. Skorobahatyi2.5011791172M. Tiutiunnyk1.50811114113WSep 12 · 13:40Y. Skorobahatyi1.73119911113A. Droshchynskyi2.0061111982WSep 12 · 12:10Y. Skorobahatyi1.671111113Y. Holoborodko2.106780
O. Kuzyshyn10
WOct 3 · 12:40A. Zozulia2.5011380O. Kuzyshyn1.501311113WSep 30 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn1.80911119113V. Merzlikin1.9111871192LSep 30 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn2.25119861I. Efimenko1.5791111113WSep 30 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn1.6791111123M. Tiutiunnyk2.101149101WSep 30 · 12:10O. Kuzyshyn1.441213113Y. Holoborodko2.63101180WSep 30 · 10:40O. Kuzyshyn1.401111113D. Habrelyan2.759850WSep 23 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn2.5011117113O. Zhyrnov1.50841191WSep 23 · 15:10O. Kuzyshyn1.731211113M. Tiutiunnyk2.0010290WSep 23 · 13:40O. Kuzyshyn1.6114911113O. Blashkun2.201211441WSep 16 · 16:40O. Kuzyshyn2.251171210113Y. Skorobahatyi1.57411101272
Upcoming Matches
Y. Skorobahatyi
O. Kuzyshyn
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.