TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Marcin Wozniczka vs Tomasz Kocik 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611611115811––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:40 and never touched: 74.5% is still 74.5%
Graded at full timeTomasz Kocik to win
74.5%
74.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
611611115811––
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:4074.5%Our read74.1%to break even at 1.35
clears by 0.4pp74.1% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.35 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (68%)
Kocik
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Wozniczka 1342 vs Kocik 1627
Kocik
Correct
both rated, 285 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wozniczka 20% vs Kocik 60%
Kocik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wozniczka 10% vs Kocik 80%
Kocik
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wozniczka -4 · Kocik +2
Wozniczka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% · Strong (leans Kocik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kocik form (60%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWozniczka 2.85 / Kocik 1.35
Signal prob.26% / 75%
Edge (Kocik)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13233904
Wozniczka2.85
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog39% won 26 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back22% 9 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 16
Kocik1.35
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite78% won 59 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it100% 38 of 38
Up 1–0, closes it87% 48 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricWozniczkaKocikBasisWin rate · lifetime182 / 337 vs 81 / 10954%74.3%182 / 337 vs 81 / 109Avg sets wonper match2.12.5per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
KocikWozniczka 2.85/Kocik 1.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.5%
Kocik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kocik won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Wozniczka10
LOct 2 · 16:00M. Zielinski1.121111113M. Wozniczka5.008670LSep 26 · 02:00M. Wozniczka2.154580C. Pawlik1.601111113LSep 26 · 00:45M. Wozniczka1.757680M. Natkaniec1.901111113LSep 25 · 23:35M. Wozniczka1.6688111182M. Warzecha2.11111195113WSep 25 · 22:25M. Krutak1.8512771192M. Wozniczka1.851011114113LSep 25 · 21:35M. Wozniczka1.45511351M. Wolny2.5011811113LSep 25 · 20:00M. Wozniczka1.7097111122M. Krutak2.00111198113LSep 25 · 18:45M. Wozniczka1.5551180M. Natkaniec2.301113113LSep 25 · 17:35M. Wozniczka2.2081161192M. Warzecha1.57116119113LSep 25 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.581512511113M. Wozniczka2.20171011482
T. Kocik10
WOct 2 · 15:10C. Pawlik2.25981161T. Kocik1.5411117113WSep 20 · 01:45P. Gesiarz4.33761191T. Kocik1.2011119113LSep 20 · 01:00J. Oracz1.83117118113T. Kocik1.8391191182LSep 20 · 00:10T. Kocik1.179911131G. Mucha4.5011113153WSep 19 · 22:35T. Kocik1.101111113K. Malcher6.505960WSep 19 · 21:45D. Maszczynski10.00411941T. Kocik1.0311511113WSep 19 · 20:30T. Kocik1.201112113G. Mucha4.3371060WSep 19 · 18:55T. Kocik1.8311911113J. Oracz1.83911681WSep 19 · 17:45T. Kocik1.0381111113D. Maszczynski10.00116621WSep 19 · 16:15T. Kocik1.221111113P. Gesiarz4.006790
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