TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Marcin Wozniczka vs Cezary Pawlik 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411511811––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
50 points played in total.
Set by set
411511811––––
H2H Marcin Wozniczka 18–17 Cezary Pawlik Cezary Pawlik has won 17 of their 35 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 10h before this match
Pawlik beat Wozniczka 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Pawlik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pawlik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWozniczka 2.15 / Pawlik 1.60
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Pawlik)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13198173
Wozniczka2.15
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog41% won 26 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back23% 9 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 15
Pawlik1.60
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 121 of 182
Up 2–0, closes it94% 73 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it81% 95 of 117
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWozniczka4wins
AwayPawlik6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderPawlik leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWozniczka50%2 of 4
AwayPawlik66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wozniczka4Pawlik6n = 10Pawlik took 6 of 10
S2Wozniczka4Pawlik6n = 10Pawlik took 6 of 10
S3Wozniczka3Pawlik7n = 10Pawlik took 7 of 10
S4Wozniczka4Pawlik4n = 8split evenly
S5Wozniczka3Pawlik2n = 5Wozniczka took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWozniczkaPawlikW − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match36.842.7−5.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWozniczkaPawlikBasisWin rate · lifetime190 / 345 vs 305 / 51855.1%58.9%190 / 345 vs 305 / 518Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PawlikWozniczka 2.15/Pawlik 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Pawlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pawlik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 25 · 16:25M. Wozniczka50171011482C. Pawlik541512511113
LSep 11 · 22:50M. Wozniczka113530C. Pawlik331111113
LSep 11 · 15:10M. Wozniczka4311119482C. Pawlik49791111113
LAug 21 · 23:35M. Wozniczka295111121C. Pawlik4211713113
WAug 21 · 17:35M. Wozniczka47711711113C. Pawlik4311811582
WJul 18 · 00:25M. Wozniczka3911511123C. Pawlik347116101
WJul 17 · 20:45M. Wozniczka47811611113C. Pawlik4311811852
LJul 4 · 02:00M. Wozniczka134450C. Pawlik331111113
LJul 3 · 16:25M. Wozniczka391191181C. Pawlik4413119113
WJun 27 · 23:35M. Wozniczka501131312113C. Pawlik52811151082
M. Wozniczka10
LSep 26 · 00:45M. Wozniczka1.757680M. Natkaniec1.901111113LSep 25 · 23:35M. Wozniczka1.6688111182M. Warzecha2.11111195113WSep 25 · 22:25M. Krutak1.8512771192M. Wozniczka1.851011114113LSep 25 · 21:35M. Wozniczka1.45511351M. Wolny2.5011811113LSep 25 · 20:00M. Wozniczka1.7097111122M. Krutak2.00111198113LSep 25 · 18:45M. Wozniczka1.5551180M. Natkaniec2.301113113LSep 25 · 17:35M. Wozniczka2.2081161192M. Warzecha1.57116119113LSep 25 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.581512511113M. Wozniczka2.20171011482WSep 25 · 15:35M. Wozniczka1.6651111143M. Wolny2.101156121LSep 12 · 02:20M. Natkaniec2.501111113M. Wozniczka1.479880
C. Pawlik10
WSep 26 · 01:10M. Krutak2.15611291C. Pawlik1.6111911113WSep 26 · 00:25C. Pawlik1.251111113M. Wolny3.628780LSep 25 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.8011711992M. Warzecha1.85611711113WSep 25 · 22:00M. Natkaniec4.206830C. Pawlik1.201111113WSep 25 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.22911119113M. Wolny3.6511591192LSep 25 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.9011510101M. Krutak1.7591112123WSep 25 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.1811116113M. Natkaniec4.50621131WSep 25 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.581512511113M. Wozniczka2.20171011482WSep 25 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.831051111113M. Warzecha1.8712117992LSep 19 · 02:00M. Krutak1.9091111113C. Pawlik1.80117981
Upcoming Matches
M. Wozniczka
Nothing scheduled
C. Pawlik
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