TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Cezary Pawlik vs Miroslaw Warzecha 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116711117911911
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
116711117911911
H2H Cezary Pawlik 5–4 Miroslaw Warzecha Miroslaw Warzecha has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Pawlik beat Warzecha 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Warzecha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Warzecha form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPawlik 1.80 / Warzecha 1.85
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Warzecha)+4.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13197532
Pawlik1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite67% won 121 of 182
Up 2–0, closes it94% 73 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it81% 95 of 117
Warzecha1.85
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As underdog54% won 19 of 35
Down 0–1, comes back32% 7 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomePawlik5wins
AwayWarzecha4wins
3 of 9 to a deciderPawlik leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePawlik100%4 of 4
AwayWarzecha80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pawlik4Warzecha5n = 9Warzecha took 5 of 9
S2Pawlik6Warzecha3n = 9Pawlik took 6 of 9
S3Pawlik3Warzecha6n = 9Warzecha took 6 of 9
S4Pawlik1Warzecha4n = 5Warzecha took 4 of 5
S5Pawlik3Warzecha0n = 3Pawlik took 3 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricPawlikWarzechaP − WBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match35.636.1−0.5per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPawlikWarzechaBasisWin rate · lifetime303 / 515 vs 850 / 120658.8%70.5%303 / 515 vs 850 / 1206Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WarzechaPawlik 1.80/Warzecha 1.85
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Warzecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Warzecha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 25 · 15:10C. Pawlik481051111113M. Warzecha4812117992
WAug 1 · 22:50C. Pawlik351111133M. Warzecha2898110
LAug 1 · 15:10C. Pawlik367111081M. Warzecha3811412113
LMay 22 · 21:10C. Pawlik2367100M. Warzecha341111123
WMay 22 · 16:50C. Pawlik45111148113M. Warzecha4486111182
LJan 31 · 02:10C. Pawlik216690M. Warzecha331111113
WJan 30 · 20:10C. Pawlik331111113M. Warzecha174760
WMay 16 · 01:10C. Pawlik44111129113M. Warzecha4256111192
LMay 15 · 17:30C. Pawlik35711981M. Warzecha4111811113
C. Pawlik10
WSep 26 · 01:10M. Krutak2.15611291C. Pawlik1.6111911113WSep 26 · 00:25C. Pawlik1.251111113M. Wolny3.628780WSep 25 · 22:00M. Natkaniec4.206830C. Pawlik1.201111113WSep 25 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.22911119113M. Wolny3.6511591192LSep 25 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.9011510101M. Krutak1.7591112123WSep 25 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.1811116113M. Natkaniec4.50621131WSep 25 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.581512511113M. Wozniczka2.20171011482WSep 25 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.831051111113M. Warzecha1.8712117992LSep 19 · 02:00M. Krutak1.9091111113C. Pawlik1.80117981WSep 19 · 01:10D. Pyrek3.009560C. Pawlik1.331111113
M. Warzecha10
WSep 25 · 23:35M. Wozniczka1.6688111182M. Warzecha2.11111195113WSep 25 · 21:10M. Krutak2.05511471M. Warzecha1.6811811113WSep 25 · 20:20M. Natkaniec3.807690M. Warzecha1.201111113WSep 25 · 19:35M. Wolny2.507970M. Warzecha1.451111113WSep 25 · 17:35M. Wozniczka2.2081161192M. Warzecha1.57116119113WSep 25 · 16:50M. Krutak2.011011991M. Warzecha1.7212811113LSep 25 · 15:10C. Pawlik1.831051111113M. Warzecha1.8712117992WSep 24 · 04:20W. Stechly9.2551171252M. Warzecha1.051171110113WSep 24 · 03:30H. Tkaczyk1.688960M. Warzecha2.051111113LSep 24 · 02:45M. Warzecha1.706240K. Kwiatkowski2.051111113
Upcoming Matches
C. Pawlik
Nothing scheduled
M. Warzecha
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