TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Miroslaw Warzecha vs Kacper Kwiatkowski 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Miroslaw Warzecha
Home
1.70
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611211411––––
Kacper Kwiatkowski
Away
2.05
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
45 points played in total.
Set by set
611211411––––
H2H Miroslaw Warzecha 7–2 Kacper Kwiatkowski Kacper Kwiatkowski has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Kwiatkowski beat Warzecha 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Warzecha)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kwiatkowski form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWarzecha 1.70 / Kwiatkowski 2.05
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Warzecha)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13187454
Warzecha1.70
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 353 of 485
Up 2–0, closes it97% 203 of 210
Up 1–0, closes it89% 263 of 296
Kwiatkowski2.05
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog38% won 70 of 185
Down 0–1, comes back22% 24 of 109
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeWarzecha7wins
AwayKwiatkowski2wins
3 of 9 to a deciderWarzecha leads 7–2, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWarzecha85.7%6 of 7
AwayKwiatkowskin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Warzecha7Kwiatkowski2n = 9Warzecha took 7 of 9
S2Warzecha5Kwiatkowski4n = 9Warzecha took 5 of 9
S3Warzecha5Kwiatkowski4n = 9Warzecha took 5 of 9
S4Warzecha3Kwiatkowski4n = 7Kwiatkowski took 4 of 7
S5Warzecha3Kwiatkowski0n = 3Warzecha took 3 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricWarzechaKwiatkowskiW − KBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match42.135.3+6.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWarzechaKwiatkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime850 / 1207 vs 127 / 28970.4%43.9%850 / 1207 vs 127 / 289Avg sets wonper match2.41.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WarzechaWarzecha 1.70/Kwiatkowski 2.05
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.1%
Warzecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kwiatkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 23 · 23:05M. Warzecha37981191K. Kwiatkowski4111118113
WAug 13 · 02:35M. Warzecha521110119113K. Kwiatkowski4081281112
WAug 12 · 23:05M. Warzecha521013711113K. Kwiatkowski45121111472
WAug 10 · 21:20M. Warzecha331111113K. Kwiatkowski229580
LAug 10 · 15:25M. Warzecha361186111K. Kwiatkowski4381111133
WJul 25 · 22:00M. Warzecha361111143K. Kwiatkowski1916120
WJul 25 · 18:00M. Warzecha4211119113K. Kwiatkowski32951171
WJul 4 · 21:00M. Warzecha4111118113K. Kwiatkowski34981161
WJul 4 · 16:35M. Warzecha50118119113K. Kwiatkowski4241171192
M. Warzecha10
WSep 24 · 03:30H. Tkaczyk1.688960M. Warzecha2.051111113WSep 24 · 01:10M. Warzecha1.801111113J. Zelezik1.906450WSep 24 · 24:20M. Karpiuk2.801211221M. Warzecha1.3714811113LSep 23 · 23:05M. Warzecha1.45981191K. Kwiatkowski2.5011118113WSep 23 · 21:30M. Warzecha1.8751111113H. Tkaczyk1.83114721WSep 23 · 20:20M. Warzecha1.32111110113M. Karpiuk2.70981231WSep 23 · 18:45M. Warzecha1.40111111113J. Slawomir2.65139841WSep 23 · 17:30M. Warzecha1.4011612113J. Zelezik2.759111091WSep 22 · 02:00J. Cyndera2.409850M. Warzecha1.501111113WSep 22 · 01:10M. Machelski3.40117681M. Warzecha1.2891111113
K. Kwiatkowski10
WSep 24 · 01:30M. Karpiuk2.1511871492K. Kwiatkowski1.625111112113WSep 23 · 23:55W. Stechly4.201111391K. Kwiatkowski1.1813911113WSep 23 · 23:05M. Warzecha1.45981191K. Kwiatkowski2.5011118113WSep 23 · 21:55K. Kwiatkowski2.60611611113J. Zelezik1.4411511882WSep 23 · 20:45H. Tkaczyk1.9611881192K. Kwiatkowski1.76711118113LSep 23 · 19:30M. Karpiuk1.65111420113K. Kwiatkowski2.056122251LSep 23 · 17:55J. Slawomir1.831111133K. Kwiatkowski1.8342110LSep 23 · 04:20K. Kwiatkowski1.529380M. Brunner2.371111113WSep 23 · 03:05K. Kwiatkowski1.651112113K. Delikatny2.1041090LSep 23 · 01:55K. Kwiatkowski1.6471060M. Baran2.141112113
Upcoming Matches
M. Warzecha
Nothing scheduled
K. Kwiatkowski
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