TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Mateusz Szymanski vs Anton Veliiev 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411711611––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:15 and never touched: 65.1% is still 65.1%
Graded at full timeAnton Veliiev to win
65.1%
65.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
50 points played in total.
Set by set
411711611––––
H2H Mateusz Szymanski 1–6 Anton Veliiev Mateusz Szymanski has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:1565.1%Our read68.5%to break even at 1.46
short by 3.4pp68.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.46 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.46 (63%)
Veliiev
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-6 in 7
Veliiev
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szymanski 1665 vs Veliiev 1688
Veliiev
Correct
both rated, 23 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymanski 80% vs Veliiev 60%
Szymanski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymanski 80% vs Veliiev 60%
Szymanski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymanski -1 · Veliiev +3
Veliiev
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Veliiev) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szymanski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymanski 2.50 / Veliiev 1.46
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Veliiev)-3.4pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13233431
Szymanski2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 19 days ago (Sep 13) · back after a break
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 28 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back26% 10 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22
Veliiev1.46
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 41 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it90% 28 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it79% 33 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSzymanski1wins
AwayVeliiev6wins
3 of 7 to a deciderVeliiev leads 6–1, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzymanskin = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayVeliiev83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymanski1Veliiev6n = 7Veliiev took 6 of 7
S2Szymanski1Veliiev6n = 7Veliiev took 6 of 7
S3Szymanski3Veliiev4n = 7Veliiev took 4 of 7
S4Szymanski2Veliiev2n = 4split evenly
S5Szymanski1Veliiev2n = 3Veliiev took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away343%
These 7 meetings
MetricSzymanskiVeliievS − VBasisWins16−5in 7 meetingsFirst set16−5of 7Avg pointsper match32.340.3−8.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymanskiVeliievBasisWin rate · lifetime149 / 274 vs 145 / 24654.4%58.9%149 / 274 vs 145 / 246Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VeliievSzymanski 2.50/Veliiev 1.46
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.1%
Veliiev · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Veliiev won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJun 7 · 07:05M. Szymanski495101112113A. Veliiev46111261072
LJun 6 · 22:55M. Szymanski3871161222A. Veliiev501171110113
LJun 6 · 19:05M. Szymanski197660A. Veliiev331111113
LJun 5 · 22:00M. Szymanski185490A. Veliiev331111113
LJun 5 · 15:30M. Szymanski31481181A. Veliiev3911116113
LMar 14 · 19:35M. Szymanski4411712952A. Veliiev474111011113
LMar 13 · 18:00M. Szymanski2710980A. Veliiev341211113
M. Szymanski10
LSep 13 · 14:35M. Szymanski2.208490A. Duch1.601111113WSep 13 · 12:35D. Bucko1.869111361M. Szymanski1.83111311113WSep 13 · 11:35K. Zapala2.257360M. Szymanski1.571111113WSep 13 · 10:05B. Bartosz2.20131051162M. Szymanski1.601112117113WSep 13 · 07:35K. Guzy1.706890M. Szymanski2.051111113WSep 13 · 06:05A. Duch1.9013690M. Szymanski1.801511113WSep 12 · 20:15M. Szymanski2.05113117113K. Guzy1.6841161142WSep 12 · 19:05K. Zapala2.101178101M. Szymanski1.6081111123WSep 12 · 18:35M. Szymanski2.101111113K. Guzy1.607870LSep 12 · 16:35M. Szymanski1.83911111272A. Duch1.81117714113
A. Veliiev10
WOct 2 · 14:00T. Stachera3.402390A. Veliiev1.281111113WOct 1 · 21:40A. Veliiev—271113113B. Gola—111141132WOct 1 · 20:00A. Veliiev1.90711117133K. Guzy1.80117811112LOct 1 · 18:30A. Veliiev1.631261111122K. Zapala2.151011134143LOct 1 · 17:00A. Veliiev1.9389111182A. Duch1.78111184113WOct 1 · 15:00A. Veliiev1.2513121113113B. Gola3.70151011582LOct 1 · 14:00A. Veliiev1.65117111592P. Odelski2.10911517113WSep 27 · 12:38J. Krupnik1.6757110A. Veliiev2.101111133WSep 27 · 12:10A. Veliiev2.251111113J. Travnicek1.577750LSep 27 · 10:40F. Chaloupka1.7311127133A. Veliiev2.0041011111
Upcoming Matches
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