TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Filip Sikora vs Antonin Baros 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
14121012113119––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:39 and never touched: 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeFilip Sikora to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Sikora above · Antonin Baros below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 82 set 4, 11-9 · our read held Filip Sikora at 63.3%
82 points played in total.
H2H Filip Sikora 20–13 Antonin Baros Antonin Baros has won 13 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:3963.3%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 3.4pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Sikora
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
20-13 in 33
Sikora
Correct
gap of 7 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikora 1743 vs Baros 1631
Sikora
Correct
both rated, 112 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikora 60% vs Baros 40%
Sikora
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikora 50% vs Baros 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikora +1 · Baros -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Sikora) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikora 1.50 / Baros 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Sikora)-3.4pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13232510
Sikora1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 77 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it75% 54 of 72
Baros2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 55 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back23% 19 of 82
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSikora7wins
AwayBaros3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSikora leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikora57.1%4 of 7
AwayBaros0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikora7Baros3n = 10Sikora took 7 of 10
S2Sikora7Baros3n = 10Sikora took 7 of 10
S3Sikora6Baros4n = 10Sikora took 6 of 10
S4Sikora5Baros3n = 8Sikora took 5 of 8
S5Sikora1Baros2n = 3Baros took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSikoraBarosS − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.035.0+5.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikoraBarosBasisWin rate · lifetime179 / 320 vs 193 / 41455.9%46.6%179 / 320 vs 193 / 414Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SikoraSikora 1.50/Baros 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Sikora · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sikora won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 15:40F. Sikora331111113A. Baros215880
WJul 9 · 14:10F. Sikora43101111113A. Baros32127851
WJun 27 · 19:10F. Sikora43711311113A. Baros4311811852
LJun 26 · 19:10F. Sikora4311712672A. Baros507111011113
LJun 19 · 14:40F. Sikora46117111072A. Baros48811612113
WJun 17 · 13:45F. Sikora4111118113A. Baros27471151
WMay 18 · 14:15F. Sikora43111110113A. Baros31771251
LMay 7 · 19:15F. Sikora31134771A. Baros44111111113
WMay 5 · 14:15F. Sikora3961111113A. Baros28115751
WApr 30 · 14:45F. Sikora381511123A. Baros26133100
F. Sikora10
WOct 2 · 14:45F. Sikora1.44125117113J. Skvrna2.63101131172LOct 2 · 13:45F. Sikora1.5311101331J. Rak2.3891215113LSep 29 · 17:13F. Sikora1.83114771R. Kowal1.8351111113WSep 29 · 15:45F. Sikora1.8011411123R. Kowal1.918115101WSep 29 · 14:45F. Sikora1.7311511113D. Sarganek2.00411991LSep 29 · 13:45F. Sikora1.806660P. Vicherek1.911111113WSep 14 · 16:50M. Zaskodny2.2064111192F. Sikora1.61111177113WSep 14 · 15:40F. Sikora1.7381112113P. Vicherek2.001171051LSep 14 · 14:40F. Sikora1.731013981D. Sarganek2.00121111113LSep 14 · 13:40F. Sikora1.6111119932M. Zaskodny2.20161111113
A. Baros10
LOct 2 · 15:15J. Rak1.7391111113A. Baros2.00117851WOct 2 · 14:15A. Baros1.80711711113J. Skvrna1.9111611862LSep 28 · 20:35A. Baros1.913870P. Vicherek1.801111113LSep 28 · 19:40R. Kowal1.73411115113A. Baros2.0011361172WSep 28 · 19:10P. Vicherek1.8097111272A. Baros1.911111610113LSep 28 · 18:10A. Baros2.2511961162D. Sarganek1.57711113113LSep 23 · 20:35A. Baros1.91116691P. Vicherek1.8091111113LSep 23 · 20:10A. Baros2.006930R. Kowal1.731111113WSep 23 · 18:40P. Vicherek1.73841151A. Baros2.0011115113WSep 23 · 18:10D. Sarganek1.571771110102A. Baros2.251511812123
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