TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Mykhailo Mykhailenko vs Volodymyr Mykhalchenko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711711––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:59 and never touched: 91.4% is still 91.4%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Mykhalchenko to win
91.4%
91.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingMykhailo Mykhailenko above · Volodymyr Mykhalchenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 54 set 3, 7-11 · our read held Volodymyr Mykhalchenko at 91.4%
54 points played in total.
H2H Mykhailo Mykhailenko 0–9 Volodymyr Mykhalchenko Mykhailo Mykhailenko has won 0 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:5991.4%Our read95.2%to break even at 1.05
short by 3.8pp95.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.05 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.05 (89%)
Mykhalchenko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-9 in 9
Mykhalchenko
Correct
gap of 9 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mykhailenko 865 vs Mykhalchenko 1104
Mykhalchenko
Correct
both rated, 239 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mykhailenko 40% vs Mykhalchenko 60%
Mykhalchenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mykhailenko 30% vs Mykhalchenko 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Mykhailenko +1 · Mykhalchenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 91% · Strong (leans Mykhalchenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mykhalchenko form (60%) is below what odds imply (95%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMykhailenko 8.50 / Mykhalchenko 1.05
Signal prob.9% / 91%
Edge (Mykhalchenko)-3.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13229380
Mykhailenko8.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 26)
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog27% won 23 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back14% 8 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 39
Mykhalchenko1.05
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 25) · back after a break
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 49 of 67
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it85% 35 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeMykhailenko0wins
AwayMykhalchenko9wins
Mykhalchenko leads 9–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMykhailenkon = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayMykhalchenko100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mykhailenko0Mykhalchenko9n = 9Mykhalchenko took 9 of 9
S2Mykhailenko1Mykhalchenko8n = 9Mykhalchenko took 8 of 9
S3Mykhailenko2Mykhalchenko7n = 9Mykhalchenko took 7 of 9
S4Mykhailenko0Mykhalchenko3n = 3Mykhalchenko took 3 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away333%
0–3Straight, away667%
These 9 meetings
MetricMykhailenkoMykhalchenkoMykhailenko − MykhalchenkoBasisWins09−9in 9 meetingsFirst set09−9of 9Avg pointsper match23.135.7−12.6per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMykhailenkoMykhalchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime28 / 103 vs 126 / 22327.2%56.5%28 / 103 vs 126 / 223Avg sets wonper match1.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match32.236.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MykhalchenkoMykhailenko 8.50/Mykhalchenko 1.05
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
91.4%
Mykhalchenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Mykhalchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 25 · 13:00M. Mykhailenko188370V. Mykhalchenko331111113
LSep 12 · 07:00M. Mykhailenko2351350V. Mykhalchenko371115113
LSep 5 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko33771181V. Mykhalchenko4011117113
LAug 29 · 07:00M. Mykhailenko217770V. Mykhalchenko331111113
LAug 28 · 13:00M. Mykhailenko156630V. Mykhalchenko331111113
LAug 23 · 16:00M. Mykhailenko209380V. Mykhalchenko331111113
LJul 12 · 13:10M. Mykhailenko332611141V. Mykhalchenko4011112163
LMay 2 · 07:00M. Mykhailenko26611541V. Mykhalchenko3911611113
LApr 25 · 07:00M. Mykhailenko195680V. Mykhalchenko331111113
M. Mykhailenko10
LOct 2 · 14:30K. Vernudin1.53712116113M. Mykhailenko2.38111071152WSep 26 · 11:00M. Mykhailenko3.7581111113K. Vernudin1.25117981LSep 26 · 09:00O. Ponomarenko1.301191111163M. Mykhailenko3.40911135142LSep 26 · 08:00M. Mykhailenko3.7511811862K. Tsoi1.25911511113WSep 26 · 07:00O. Stopin1.1391040M. Mykhailenko5.501112113LSep 26 · 05:30M. Mykhailenko2.253515101D. Kunchurov1.57111113123LSep 25 · 18:30M. Mykhailenko1.917880D. Kunchurov1.801111113LSep 25 · 16:30O. Ponomarenko1.3313126113M. Mykhailenko3.2511101191WSep 25 · 15:30M. Mykhailenko2.63911116143O. Efimov1.44119811122LSep 25 · 14:30K. Vernudin1.20118119123M. Mykhailenko4.33811411102
V. Mykhalchenko10
LOct 2 · 14:00V. Mykhalchenko1.10113811102O. Efimov6.50711118123WSep 25 · 19:00V. Mykhalchenko1.251111113O. Efimov3.754730LSep 25 · 17:00K. Vernudin4.5011119133V. Mykhalchenko1.177511111LSep 25 · 15:00O. Ponomarenko1.83751111113V. Mykhalchenko1.8311116892WSep 25 · 14:00V. Mykhalchenko1.251191111153D. Kunchurov3.75131168132WSep 25 · 13:00M. Mykhailenko8.008370V. Mykhalchenko1.061111113LSep 20 · 17:40Y. Korotin1.8311121511123V. Mykhalchenko1.831314139102LSep 20 · 16:10V. Mykhalchenko1.80117671S. Kovalenko1.9161111113LSep 20 · 14:10V. Kondratenko1.7311101311103V. Mykhalchenko2.0081215932LSep 20 · 12:10V. Varchenko1.2511613113V. Mykhalchenko3.758111111
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