TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Jan Blazek vs Josef Hanacek 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117117118––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:25 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJosef Hanacek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Blazek above · Josef Hanacek below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 55 set 3, 11-8 · our read held Josef Hanacek at 54.0%
55 points played in total.
H2H Jan Blazek 6–6 Josef Hanacek Dead even across their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:2554.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.833
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.833 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Hanacek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
6-6 in 12
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Blazek 1380 vs Hanacek 1428
Hanacek
Wrong
both rated, 48 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Blazek 20% vs Hanacek 40%
Hanacek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Blazek 40% vs Hanacek 60%
Hanacek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Blazek -1 · Hanacek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Hanacek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hanacek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBlazek 1.833 / Hanacek 1.833
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hanacek)-0.6pp
Setka Cup · #13229001
Blazek1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 8 days ago (Sep 24) · back after a break
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Hanacek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 27)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBlazek6wins
AwayHanacek4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBlazek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBlazek85.7%6 of 7
AwayHanacek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Blazek7Hanacek3n = 10Blazek took 7 of 10
S2Blazek5Hanacek5n = 10split evenly
S3Blazek4Hanacek6n = 10Hanacek took 6 of 10
S4Blazek5Hanacek2n = 7Blazek took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBlazekHanacekB − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.436.7+0.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBlazekHanacekBasisWin rate · lifetime169 / 389 vs 243 / 47743.4%50.9%169 / 389 vs 243 / 477Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.939.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
HanacekBlazek 1.83/Hanacek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hanacek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Blazek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 13:30J. Blazek391216113J. Hanacek31101470
WSep 8 · 14:30J. Blazek43111011113J. Hanacek33712771
WAug 28 · 12:23J. Blazek531112811113J. Hanacek4781411592
LAug 28 · 09:15J. Blazek187290J. Hanacek331111113
LAug 21 · 13:04J. Blazek45811511102J. Hanacek48118116123
WAug 21 · 09:30J. Blazek4212811113J. Hanacek381011891
WAug 11 · 12:34J. Blazek331111113J. Hanacek198650
LAug 11 · 10:00J. Blazek29812181J. Hanacek43111011113
LAug 5 · 16:59J. Blazek33119851J. Hanacek4181111113
WAug 5 · 15:00J. Blazek3911116113J. Hanacek34881171
J. Blazek10
WOct 2 · 14:30J. Blazek3.2511811113L. Tuma1.33811151LSep 24 · 12:43A. Dvoracek1.67128114113J. Blazek2.10101161152WSep 24 · 11:15M. Vorel1.448850J. Blazek2.631111113LSep 24 · 10:45J. Blazek1.73119991M. Obraz2.0051111113LSep 24 · 09:45J. Blazek2.1071111872A. Dvoracek1.67116911113LSep 23 · 13:03M. Melisek1.6711117113J. Blazek2.10891191WSep 23 · 11:30R. Slunecko1.44111281152J. Blazek2.635101113113WSep 23 · 11:00J. Blazek1.801213113D. Sabuka1.91101180WSep 23 · 10:00J. Blazek2.25511117113M. Melisek1.5711791132LSep 17 · 16:39K. Polak1.73111111113J. Blazek2.00981381
J. Hanacek10
LOct 2 · 15:00E. Ondracek1.801111113J. Hanacek1.919890LSep 27 · 12:50L. Hendrych1.3013112283J. Hanacek3.40117111152WSep 27 · 11:15K. Jirousek1.80811141262J. Hanacek1.911141214113LSep 27 · 10:45J. Hanacek3.25671171L. Hendrych1.3311115113WSep 27 · 09:45J. Hanacek2.2012611113J. Mejzlik1.611011831LSep 26 · 16:59J. Hanacek1.831181391A. Dvoracek1.8371115113WSep 26 · 16:00A. Dvoracek1.831110661J. Hanacek1.8351211113LSep 26 · 15:00J. Mejzlik1.7311119142J. Hanacek2.009311141WSep 26 · 09:09J. Hanacek1.60116411113M. Vorel2.2081111182WSep 26 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.201111113O. Plyska1.615570
Upcoming Matches
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J. Hanacek
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