TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Adam Dvoracek vs Jan Blazek 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Adam Dvoracek
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210811116411115
Jan Blazek
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingAdam Dvoracek above · Jan Blazek below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 89 set 5, 11-5
89 points played in total.
H2H Adam Dvoracek 14–11 Jan Blazek Jan Blazek has won 11 of their 25 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Dvoracek beat Blazek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Dvoracek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dvoracek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDvoracek 1.67 / Blazek 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Dvoracek)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13189116
Dvoracek1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite57% won 70 of 122
Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it75% 50 of 67
Blazek2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog40% won 54 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back23% 18 of 80
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDvoracek6wins
AwayBlazek4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderDvoracek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDvoracek85.7%6 of 7
AwayBlazek100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dvoracek7Blazek3n = 10Dvoracek took 7 of 10
S2Dvoracek5Blazek5n = 10split evenly
S3Dvoracek5Blazek5n = 10split evenly
S4Dvoracek4Blazek3n = 7Dvoracek took 4 of 7
S5Dvoracek3Blazek2n = 5Dvoracek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDvoracekBlazekD − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match42.240.2+2.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDvoracekBlazekBasisWin rate · lifetime253 / 483 vs 169 / 38852.4%43.6%253 / 483 vs 169 / 388Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DvoracekDvoracek 1.67/Blazek 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Dvoracek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Dvoracek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 24 · 09:45A. Dvoracek48116911113J. Blazek4471111872
LAug 21 · 10:30A. Dvoracek3611111041J. Blazek4213612113
LJul 30 · 10:30A. Dvoracek45711411122J. Blazek50116118143
LJul 24 · 12:58A. Dvoracek35891171J. Blazek3911116113
WJul 24 · 12:00A. Dvoracek371214113J. Blazek28101260
LJul 22 · 16:59A. Dvoracek52129141162J. Blazek571011169113
WJul 22 · 13:30A. Dvoracek5311101011113J. Blazek4991212972
WJun 26 · 11:45A. Dvoracek341111123J. Blazek2798100
WJun 24 · 12:00A. Dvoracek491110116113J. Blazek4791271182
WJun 22 · 11:45A. Dvoracek331111113J. Blazek198740
A. Dvoracek10
WSep 24 · 11:45A. Dvoracek2.201111123M. Obraz1.6189100WSep 24 · 10:15M. Vorel1.831241161A. Dvoracek1.8314117113WSep 24 · 09:45J. Blazek2.1071111872A. Dvoracek1.67116911113WSep 17 · 08:58A. Dvoracek1.8311611113J. Hanacek1.83711881LSep 17 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.0011129143A. Dvoracek1.7351011121LSep 17 · 07:00M. Vorel2.0011119113A. Dvoracek1.73661161LSep 17 · 05:30K. Jirousek1.6731112113A. Dvoracek2.101171081WSep 16 · 12:59A. Dvoracek1.7311911113M. Vorel2.00611891LSep 16 · 12:00M. Vorel1.9111911113A. Dvoracek1.80611671WSep 16 · 11:00M. Melisek2.258770A. Dvoracek1.571111113
J. Blazek10
WSep 24 · 11:15M. Vorel1.448850J. Blazek2.631111113LSep 24 · 10:45J. Blazek1.73119991M. Obraz2.0051111113LSep 24 · 09:45J. Blazek2.1071111872A. Dvoracek1.67116911113LSep 23 · 13:03M. Melisek1.6711117113J. Blazek2.10891191WSep 23 · 11:30R. Slunecko1.44111281152J. Blazek2.635101113113WSep 23 · 11:00J. Blazek1.801213113D. Sabuka1.91101180WSep 23 · 10:00J. Blazek2.25511117113M. Melisek1.5711791132LSep 17 · 16:39K. Polak1.73111111113J. Blazek2.00981381LSep 17 · 15:30J. Blazek2.506650E. Ondracek1.501111113LSep 17 · 14:30J. Blazek2.20571231M. Melisek1.61111110113
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