Tomas Navrat vs Zdenek Luksa 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga Pro

Played Oct 2Finished

Tomas Navrat

Home

1.91

At publish

Lost last 3

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 3

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

111391113111012––

Zdenek Luksa

Away

1.80

At publish

Won last 5

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Won last 5

The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:50 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Zdenek Luksa to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.

How it is goingTomas Navrat above · Zdenek Luksa below

Set 1 · 11-13

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 3-9

Point 56 set 3, 3-9 · our read held Zdenek Luksa at 54.0%

56 points drawn · the score is 34 ahead; the rest land in a moment.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 18:50

54.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80

short by 1.6pp

55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)

What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Luksa

Correct

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Navrat 1232 vs Luksa 1279

Luksa

Correct

both rated, 47 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Navrat 40% vs Luksa 100%

Luksa

Correct

60pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Navrat 30% vs Luksa 70%

Luksa

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Navrat -3 · Luksa +5

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Luksa) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Luksa form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsNavrat 1.909 / Luksa 1.80

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Luksa)-1.6pp (anti-value)

Czech Liga Pro · #13228409

Navrat1.91

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 3

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog26% won 6 of 23

Down 0–1, comes back20% 3 of 15

Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 8

Luksa1.80

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Won last 5

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite61% won 22 of 36

Up 2–0, closes it100% 11 of 11

Up 1–0, closes it90% 17 of 19

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricNavratLuksaBasisWin rate · lifetime24 / 65 vs 66 / 13236.9%50%24 / 65 vs 66 / 132Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.9per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Luksa

Navrat 1.91/Luksa 1.80

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

54%

Luksa · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Luksa won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

T. Navrat10