TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Valerii Lukianevych vs Ruslan Serhyenko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7113111416––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:29 and never touched: 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeRuslan Serhyenko to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingValerii Lukianevych above · Ruslan Serhyenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 14-16
Point 62 set 3, 14-16 · our read held Ruslan Serhyenko at 54.9%
62 points played in total.
H2H Valerii Lukianevych 0–2 Ruslan Serhyenko Valerii Lukianevych has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:2954.9%Our read61.9%to break even at 1.615
short by 7.0pp61.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.615 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Serhyenko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Lukianevych 1281 vs Serhyenko 1210
Lukianevych
Wrong
both rated, 71 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lukianevych 40% vs Serhyenko 60%
Serhyenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lukianevych 40% vs Serhyenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lukianevych -3 · Serhyenko -1
Lukianevych
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Serhyenko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLukianevych 2.20 / Serhyenko 1.615
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Serhyenko)-7.0pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13223995
Lukianevych2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 9 days ago (Sep 22) · back after a break
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 26 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back23% 11 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Serhyenko1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 9 days ago (Sep 22) · back after a break
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite54% won 34 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it86% 19 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it77% 26 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeLukianevych0wins
AwaySerhyenko2wins
2 of 2 to a deciderSerhyenko leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away2
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricLukianevychSerhyenkoL − SBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match37.046.0−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLukianevychSerhyenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime202 / 406 vs 252 / 58149.8%43.4%202 / 406 vs 252 / 581Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SerhyenkoLukianevych 2.20/Serhyenko 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Serhyenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Serhyenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 22 · 16:35V. Lukianevych3611711342R. Serhyenko47711711113
LJun 28 · 17:55V. Lukianevych3811115562R. Serhyenko45571111113
V. Lukianevych10
LOct 1 · 14:05V. Lukianevych1.83118881A. Azarov1.8381111113LSep 22 · 18:35A. Sydorenko1.50111911113V. Lukianevych2.5081111592LSep 22 · 17:35V. Lukianevych2.109640V. Reva1.671111113LSep 22 · 16:35V. Lukianevych2.1011711342R. Serhyenko1.67711711113WSep 22 · 15:05V. Lukianevych1.301111133M. Karelov3.4062110WSep 22 · 13:05V. Lukianevych1.5041111113H. Buianover2.50117541LSep 16 · 17:35V. Lukianevych2.006680V. Reva1.731111113LSep 16 · 16:35V. Lukianevych1.73712111272V. Leonov2.001114110113LSep 16 · 15:05V. Lukianevych1.50711591H. Buianover2.5011411113WSep 16 · 13:05V. Lukianevych1.331111113M. Karelov3.257720
R. Serhyenko10
LOct 1 · 14:35H. Buianover4.501211113R. Serhyenko1.1710750LSep 22 · 19:05M. Karelov2.38361211113R. Serhyenko1.53111110882WSep 22 · 18:05H. Buianover4.007690R. Serhyenko1.221111113WSep 22 · 16:35V. Lukianevych2.1011711342R. Serhyenko1.67711711113LSep 22 · 14:35V. Reva2.00111014113R. Serhyenko1.735121261WSep 22 · 12:35A. Sydorenko3.758820R. Serhyenko1.251111113LSep 18 · 18:35R. Serhyenko2.501197161Y. Bielokon1.5081111183LSep 18 · 17:05R. Serhyenko3.009860D. Boltenkov1.361111113LSep 18 · 15:35R. Serhyenko2.25115951V. Chumak1.5791111113WSep 18 · 14:05R. Serhyenko2.75111011133I. Yelfimov1.406128111
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