Laurent Lasota vs David Osvald 0-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Cup

TT Cup

Played Sep 30Finished

Laurent Lasota

Home

1.80

At publish

Lost last 5

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 5

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

711211811––––

David Osvald

Away

1.91

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:32 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%

Graded at full time

Laurent Lasota to win

54.0%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Wrong

not sent

How it is goingLaurent Lasota above · David Osvald below

Set 1 · 7-11

Set 2 · 2-11

Set 3 · 8-11

Point 50 set 3, 8-11 · our read held Laurent Lasota at 54.0%

50 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 18:32

54.0%Our read55.6%to break even at 1.80

short by 1.6pp

55.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.80 they are the same number)

What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.80 (51%)

Lasota

Wrong

no bar to clear: a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Lasota 1460 vs Osvald 1476

Osvald

Correct

both rated, 16 points apart, no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Lasota 0% vs Osvald 40%

Osvald

Correct

40pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Lasota 20% vs Osvald 50%

Osvald

Correct

30pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Streak

Lasota -5 · Osvald -1

Lasota

Wrong

one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Lasota) · sealed before the serve

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Osvald form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsLasota 1.80 / Osvald 1.909

Signal prob.54% / 46%

Edge (Lasota)-1.6pp (anti-value)

TT Cup · #13220889

Lasota1.80

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

Lost last 5

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As favourite50% won 50 of 101

Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19

Up 1–0, closes it76% 32 of 42

Osvald1.91

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

Last match: today

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As underdog50% won 10 of 20

Down 0–1, comes back29% 2 of 7

Down 0–2, comes back20% 1 of 5

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands: it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricLasotaOsvaldBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 299 vs 93 / 18048.8%51.7%146 / 299 vs 93 / 180Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.8per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction

Match Winner

Lasota

Lasota 1.80/Osvald 1.91

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54%

Lasota · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Osvald won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together: one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

L. Lasota10