TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Marian Brunner vs Andriej Fomin 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
14164111113––––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:42 and never touched: 71.2% is still 71.2%
Graded at full timeAndriej Fomin to win
71.2%
71.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
14164111113––––
H2H Marian Brunner 0–2 Andriej Fomin Marian Brunner has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:42What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (67%)
Fomin
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Brunner 1278 vs Fomin 1501
Fomin
Correct
both rated, 223 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brunner 60% vs Fomin 100%
Fomin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brunner 40% vs Fomin 80%
Fomin
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brunner +2 · Fomin +6
Fomin
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% · Strong (leans Fomin) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrunner 2.80 / Fomin 1.35
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Fomin)+3.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13218480
Brunner2.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 51 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back17% 15 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54
Fomin1.35
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite73% won 291 of 401
Up 2–0, closes it98% 159 of 163
Up 1–0, closes it90% 222 of 248
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBrunner0wins
AwayFomin2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderFomin leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBrunnerFominB − FBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match37.046.0−9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrunnerFominBasisWin rate · lifetime284 / 580 vs 557 / 95049%58.6%284 / 580 vs 557 / 950Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.538.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
FominBrunner 2.80/Fomin 1.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.2%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Fomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 2 · 00:20M. Brunner26117621A. Fomin4071111113
LSep 1 · 20:20M. Brunner4881311882A. Fomin521111811113
M. Brunner10
WSep 29 · 17:30M. Brunner1.8061311113J. Skorupa1.911111581WSep 23 · 04:20K. Kwiatkowski1.529380M. Brunner2.371111113LSep 23 · 03:30J. Michalik1.7514119113M. Brunner1.951231171LSep 23 · 02:45M. Brunner2.05611791M. Karpiuk1.5611611113WSep 23 · 01:10M. Brunner2.061110911113M. Baran1.5551211692LSep 23 · 00:20K. Delikatny1.60112147113M. Brunner2.20611121162LSep 22 · 23:05M. Brunner2.05711491M. Karpiuk1.6511411113LSep 22 · 21:30M. Brunner2.05117121182P. Gesiarz1.65811146113WSep 22 · 20:20M. Brunner2.381111113K. Delikatny1.535750LSep 22 · 18:45M. Brunner2.65710121192K. Kwiatkowski1.321112101113
A. Fomin10
WSep 29 · 17:55A. Fomin1.701111610113G. Mucha2.0086111272WSep 28 · 08:45T. Kordaszewski5.407470A. Fomin1.101111113WSep 28 · 07:35A. Fomin1.521111113M. Wolny2.305450WSep 28 · 06:25M. Machelski2.809101151A. Fomin1.3711129113WSep 28 · 05:10W. Stechly6.1810119161A. Fomin1.0912511183WSep 28 · 03:35J. Slawomir2.857690A. Fomin1.361111113LSep 27 · 02:45A. Fomin1.788280A. Zmijewski1.931111113WSep 27 · 01:10A. Fomin2.15111011113C. Pawlik1.63712891WSep 27 · 00:00A. Fomin1.6071713113G. Mucha2.1011151151LSep 26 · 22:25A. Fomin1.427101111112M. Machelski2.60111277133
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.