TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Andriej Fomin vs Michal Machelski 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
71110121171171113
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
100 points played in total.
Set by set
71110121171171113
H2H Andriej Fomin 18–23 Michal Machelski Andriej Fomin has won 18 of their 41 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Fomin beat Machelski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Fomin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Machelski form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 1.42 / Machelski 2.60
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Fomin)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13203886
Fomin1.42
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite72% won 284 of 392
Up 2–0, closes it98% 157 of 161
Up 1–0, closes it89% 217 of 243
Machelski2.60
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 8
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 116 of 350
Down 0–1, comes back20% 40 of 203
Down 0–2, comes back4% 5 of 120
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFomin6wins
AwayMachelski4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderFomin leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFomin80%4 of 5
AwayMachelski60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin5Machelski5n = 10split evenly
S2Fomin6Machelski4n = 10Fomin took 6 of 10
S3Fomin7Machelski3n = 10Fomin took 7 of 10
S4Fomin6Machelski3n = 9Fomin took 6 of 9
S5Fomin1Machelski3n = 4Machelski took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFominMachelskiF − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.837.9+6.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominMachelskiBasisWin rate · lifetime550 / 942 vs 409 / 110058.4%37.2%550 / 942 vs 409 / 1100Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.135.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominFomin 1.42/Machelski 2.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.1%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Machelski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 26 · 22:25A. Fomin507101111112M. Machelski50111277133
WSep 26 · 20:00A. Fomin4011711113M. Machelski27611371
LSep 16 · 21:00A. Fomin541111131182M. Machelski50651513113
WSep 16 · 16:35A. Fomin3611113113M. Machelski31851171
WAug 27 · 01:30A. Fomin48121113123M. Machelski4214711101
LAug 26 · 19:30A. Fomin54891111152M. Machelski46111152173
WJul 29 · 22:55A. Fomin341211113M. Machelski2310670
WJul 29 · 16:55A. Fomin48911116113M. Machelski3411441142
LJul 12 · 00:00A. Fomin4491111131M. Machelski4411513153
WJul 11 · 16:00A. Fomin4011411143M. Machelski328111121
A. Fomin10
WSep 27 · 00:00A. Fomin1.6071713113G. Mucha2.1011151151LSep 26 · 21:10A. Fomin2.308590J. Oracz1.551111113WSep 26 · 20:00M. Machelski3.50611371A. Fomin1.2611711113WSep 26 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.857111110112A. Fomin1.80113312133LSep 26 · 18:25A. Fomin2.05761181A. Zmijewski1.7011114113LSep 26 · 16:50A. Fomin2.404990J. Oracz1.441111113WSep 26 · 16:00G. Mucha2.751413311102A. Fomin1.4012111113123WSep 25 · 01:45A. Fomin3.408121111113M. Guzik1.30111071392WSep 25 · 00:35A. Fomin1.4411811113J. Skorupa2.63711521WSep 24 · 23:20A. Fomin1.73991215113J. Michalik2.001111101342
M. Machelski10
WSep 27 · 00:45M. Machelski2.501112811133G. Mucha1.45714117112WSep 26 · 23:35M. Machelski2.48111199113J. Oracz1.4895111182LSep 26 · 21:35M. Machelski3.306750A. Zmijewski1.271111113LSep 26 · 20:00M. Machelski3.50611371A. Fomin1.2611711113LSep 26 · 18:45M. Machelski2.3769120G. Mucha1.521111143LSep 26 · 17:35M. Machelski4.75891151J. Oracz1.1411116113LSep 26 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.201111113M. Machelski3.909350LSep 26 · 15:35M. Machelski2.10115551A. Zmijewski1.6591111113LSep 22 · 02:45M. Machelski1.903890A. Staniczek1.801111113LSep 22 · 01:10M. Machelski3.40117681M. Warzecha1.2891111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Fomin
M. Machelski
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.