TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Andriej Fomin vs Cezary Pawlik 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 27Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171012118119––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
1171012118119––
H2H Andriej Fomin 12–10 Cezary Pawlik Cezary Pawlik has won 10 of their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Fomin beat Pawlik 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Pawlik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pawlik form (40%) is below what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 2.15 / Pawlik 1.63
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Pawlik)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13204450
Fomin2.15
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 59 of 125
Down 0–1, comes back36% 25 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 36
Pawlik1.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 128 of 190
Up 2–0, closes it94% 77 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it81% 100 of 123
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFomin5wins
AwayPawlik5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFomin83.3%5 of 6
AwayPawlik100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin6Pawlik4n = 10Fomin took 6 of 10
S2Fomin4Pawlik6n = 10Pawlik took 6 of 10
S3Fomin4Pawlik6n = 10Pawlik took 6 of 10
S4Fomin2Pawlik5n = 7Pawlik took 5 of 7
S5Fomin3Pawlik1n = 4Fomin took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricFominPawlikF − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.941.1−1.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominPawlikBasisWin rate · lifetime550 / 942 vs 310 / 52758.4%58.8%550 / 942 vs 310 / 527Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PawlikFomin 2.15/Pawlik 1.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.7%
Pawlik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Fomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 26 · 19:10A. Fomin42113312133C. Pawlik507111110112
WSep 13 · 00:25A. Fomin48118117113C. Pawlik4371161182
LSep 12 · 20:45A. Fomin4191111101C. Pawlik4311713123
WSep 6 · 01:10A. Fomin49111188113C. Pawlik4358111182
LSep 5 · 19:10A. Fomin2813690C. Pawlik371511113
LAug 29 · 22:25A. Fomin391171471C. Pawlik47131112113
LAug 29 · 20:00A. Fomin4211511692C. Pawlik48711811113
LAug 9 · 00:45A. Fomin2881190C. Pawlik351113113
WAug 8 · 18:45A. Fomin351113113C. Pawlik2691160
WJun 28 · 00:45A. Fomin47111213113C. Pawlik396101581
A. Fomin10
WSep 27 · 00:00A. Fomin1.6071713113G. Mucha2.1011151151LSep 26 · 22:25A. Fomin1.427101111112M. Machelski2.60111277133LSep 26 · 21:10A. Fomin2.308590J. Oracz1.551111113WSep 26 · 20:00M. Machelski3.50611371A. Fomin1.2611711113WSep 26 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.857111110112A. Fomin1.80113312133LSep 26 · 18:25A. Fomin2.05761181A. Zmijewski1.7011114113LSep 26 · 16:50A. Fomin2.404990J. Oracz1.441111113WSep 26 · 16:00G. Mucha2.751413311102A. Fomin1.4012111113123WSep 25 · 01:45A. Fomin3.408121111113M. Guzik1.30111071392WSep 25 · 00:35A. Fomin1.4411811113J. Skorupa2.63711521
C. Pawlik10
LSep 27 · 00:25C. Pawlik1.95911751A. Zmijewski1.7011911113WSep 26 · 22:50C. Pawlik1.8011711113J. Oracz1.90611981LSep 26 · 22:00G. Mucha2.50111011133C. Pawlik1.456123111WSep 26 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.537131111113A. Zmijewski2.35111113842LSep 26 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.857111110112A. Fomin1.80113312133LSep 26 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.5011291382G. Mucha2.505111111113WSep 26 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.201111113M. Machelski3.909350WSep 26 · 15:10C. Pawlik2.00141147113J. Oracz1.71129111182WSep 26 · 02:00M. Wozniczka2.154580C. Pawlik1.601111113WSep 26 · 01:10M. Krutak2.15611291C. Pawlik1.6111911113
Upcoming Matches
A. Fomin
Nothing scheduled
C. Pawlik
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