TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Michal Wollny vs Roman Hudeczek 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 30Finished
Michal Wollny
Home
1.52
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911511811––––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:52 and never touched: 60.7% is still 60.7%
Graded at full timeMichal Wollny to win
60.7%
60.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Wollny above · Roman Hudeczek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 55 set 3, 8-11 · our read held Michal Wollny at 60.7%
55 points played in total.
H2H Michal Wollny 3–1 Roman Hudeczek Roman Hudeczek has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:5260.7%Our read65.8%to break even at 1.52
short by 5.1pp65.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.52 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.52 (61%)
Wollny
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Wollny
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wollny 1673 vs Hudeczek 1719
Hudeczek
Correct
both rated, 46 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wollny 0% vs Hudeczek 40%
Hudeczek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wollny 40% vs Hudeczek 70%
Hudeczek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wollny -6 · Hudeczek -2
Wollny
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Wollny) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wollny form (0%) is below what odds imply (66%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWollny 1.52 / Hudeczek 2.35
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Wollny)-5.1pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13216908
Wollny1.52
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite53% won 25 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it73% 19 of 26
Hudeczek2.35
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog46% won 45 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back35% 18 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back23% 7 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeWollny3wins
AwayHudeczek1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderWollny leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wollny2Hudeczek2n = 4split evenly
S2Wollny4Hudeczek0n = 4Wollny took 4 of 4
S3Wollny4Hudeczek0n = 4Wollny took 4 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home250%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricWollnyHudeczekW − HBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match35.725.0+10.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWollnyHudeczekBasisWin rate · lifetime111 / 213 vs 189 / 37752.1%50.1%111 / 213 vs 189 / 377Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.138.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
WollnyWollny 1.52/Hudeczek 2.35
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.7%
Wollny · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hudeczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJan 10 · 20:30M. Wollny331111113R. Hudeczek219390
WJan 3 · 17:30M. Wollny331111113R. Hudeczek228590
WDec 15 · 20:30M. Wollny4181111113R. Hudeczek32119661
M. Wollny10
LSep 30 · 20:58R. Hudeczek2.38411511123M. Wollny1.53117118102LSep 30 · 19:30M. Chalupa3.7511115113M. Wollny1.25481171LSep 30 · 18:00M. Wollny1.536511101D. Szotek2.3811119123LSep 3 · 21:00V. Burdik2.00111411113M. Wollny1.73516781LSep 3 · 20:00M. Wollny2.20661181M. Kratochvil1.6111118113LSep 3 · 19:30R. Urbaniec2.6311911113M. Wollny1.44911781LSep 3 · 18:00M. Wollny1.7361111852V. Burdik2.00119711113WSep 1 · 21:28M. Wollny1.731011911113V. Burdik2.0012711882WSep 1 · 20:00M. Wollny1.6111118113R. Urbaniec2.20941171WSep 1 · 19:30L. Kern2.50115981M. Wollny1.5091111113
R. Hudeczek10
WSep 30 · 20:58R. Hudeczek2.38411511123M. Wollny1.53117118102LSep 30 · 19:00D. Szotek2.204101112113R. Hudeczek1.61111261062LSep 30 · 18:30R. Hudeczek1.911110891M. Chalupa1.8091211113WSep 24 · 21:30R. Hudeczek1.85111111113M. Chalupa1.85241381LSep 24 · 20:00M. Chalupa1.8311141013113R. Hudeczek1.83912121582WSep 24 · 19:00Z. Pagac2.204760R. Hudeczek1.611111113WSep 24 · 18:30R. Hudeczek1.831111113D. Szotek1.838270WSep 23 · 21:30R. Hudeczek1.6561111113L. Kern2.10116641WSep 23 · 20:00R. Hudeczek1.671111113Z. Pagac2.107760WSep 23 · 19:30M. Holub2.10911681R. Hudeczek1.6711511113
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