TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vaclav Hruska Sr vs Jan Framberk 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
131514129111151012
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:53 and never touched: 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeJan Framberk to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Hruska Sr above · Jan Framberk below
Set 1 · 13-15
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 112 set 5, 10-12 · our read held Jan Framberk at 62.5%
112 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Hruska Sr 0–2 Jan Framberk Vaclav Hruska Sr has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:5362.5%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 4.2pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Framberk
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hruska Sr 1336 vs Framberk 1336
Framberk
Correct
both rated, 0 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hruska Sr 40% vs Framberk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hruska Sr 40% vs Framberk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hruska Sr +1 · Framberk -3
Framberk
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% · Clear lean (leans Framberk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Framberk form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHruska Sr 2.50 / Framberk 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Framberk)-4.2pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13216863
Hruska Sr2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 78 of 201
Down 0–1, comes back23% 26 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 67
Framberk1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 50 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it100% 18 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it79% 34 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHruska Sr0wins
AwayFramberk2wins
Framberk leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricHruska SrFramberkH − FBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match25.037.5−12.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHruska SrFramberkBasisWin rate · lifetime468 / 999 vs 87 / 16446.9%53.1%468 / 999 vs 87 / 164Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
FramberkHruska Sr 2.50/Framberk 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Framberk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Framberk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 22 · 16:30V. Hruska Sr186840J. Framberk331111113
LApr 29 · 10:30V. Hruska Sr32811671J. Framberk4211911113
V. Hruska Sr10
WSep 30 · 20:59V. Hruska Sr1.5311811113J. Pelikan2.38511951LSep 30 · 20:30V. Hruska Sr2.20115121182V. Dolezal1.61511149113WSep 30 · 18:00J. Pelikan2.631111491V. Hruska Sr1.4471311113LSep 29 · 03:00V. Hruska Sr2.25111188102J. Briska1.57961111123LSep 29 · 02:00M. Ulrych1.331112113V. Hruska Sr3.2551050LSep 29 · 00:30V. Hruska Sr2.10571111122J. Strnad1.67111187143WSep 28 · 23:00V. Hruska Sr2.1011118113J. Briska1.67761191WSep 28 · 22:00T. Regner1.36361141V. Hruska Sr3.0011118113LSep 27 · 08:59V. Hruska Sr1.736970P. Berdych2.001111113WSep 27 · 08:30V. Hruska Sr1.911311113P. Berdych1.8011190
J. Framberk10
WSep 30 · 20:00J. Pelikan2.252350J. Framberk1.571111113LSep 30 · 18:28J. Framberk3.251251151V. Dolezal1.33101113113LSep 22 · 21:30T. Regner2.101111113J. Framberk1.665990LSep 22 · 20:30M. Barta2.751111113J. Framberk1.404850WSep 22 · 19:30J. Framberk1.731111113P. Franc2.007560WSep 22 · 18:30T. Regner2.25114891J. Framberk1.5791111113WSep 22 · 17:00P. Berdych1.83671111112J. Framberk1.83111188133WSep 22 · 16:30V. Hruska Sr2.206840J. Framberk1.611111113LSep 22 · 15:30J. Framberk1.8011812982P. Berdych1.919111011113LSep 22 · 14:30Z. Drabek1.831111123J. Framberk1.8338100
Upcoming Matches
V. Hruska Sr
Nothing scheduled
J. Framberk
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