TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Vaclav Hruska Sr vs Jan Briska 2-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1191168118111012
Jan Briska
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 02:57 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVaclav Hruska Sr to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVaclav Hruska Sr above · Jan Briska below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 10-12
Point 97 set 5, 10-12 · our read held Vaclav Hruska Sr at 54.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Hruska Sr 6–6 Jan Briska Dead even across their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 6–4Head to head
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Hruska Sr beat Briska 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 02:57What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Briska
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-6 in 12
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hruska Sr 1336 vs Briska 1358
Briska
Correct
both rated, 22 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hruska Sr 40% vs Briska 20%
Hruska Sr
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hruska Sr 30% vs Briska 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hruska Sr -2 · Briska -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Hruska Sr) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Briska form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHruska Sr 2.25 / Briska 1.57
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hruska Sr)+12.9pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13214672
Hruska Sr2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 76 of 196
Down 0–1, comes back23% 26 of 113
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 65
Briska1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 6 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHruska Sr6wins
AwayBriska4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHruska Sr leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHruska Sr83.3%5 of 6
AwayBriska75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hruska Sr6Briska4n = 10Hruska Sr took 6 of 10
S2Hruska Sr8Briska2n = 10Hruska Sr took 8 of 10
S3Hruska Sr3Briska7n = 10Briska took 7 of 10
S4Hruska Sr7Briska2n = 9Hruska Sr took 7 of 9
S5Hruska Sr1Briska3n = 4Briska took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHruska SrBriskaH − BBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.839.2+3.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHruska SrBriskaBasisWin rate · lifetime467 / 997 vs 168 / 33946.8%49.6%467 / 997 vs 168 / 339Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
Hruska SrHruska Sr 2.25/Briska 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Hruska Sr · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Briska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 28 · 23:00V. Hruska Sr4111118113J. Briska33761191
WOct 29 · 11:30V. Hruska Sr4211119113J. Briska28461171
WOct 27 · 08:00V. Hruska Sr331111113J. Briska229580
LOct 23 · 17:05V. Hruska Sr4512771182J. Briska481011115113
LOct 23 · 15:30V. Hruska Sr551211139102J. Briska571491111123
WOct 14 · 09:30V. Hruska Sr4311118133J. Briska388811111
WOct 14 · 06:30V. Hruska Sr4212118113J. Briska381081191
WOct 9 · 14:00V. Hruska Sr48781111113J. Briska4411117962
LSep 27 · 19:30V. Hruska Sr34911861J. Briska4011711113
LSep 24 · 07:30V. Hruska Sr45511111172J. Briska44112137113
V. Hruska Sr10
LSep 29 · 02:00M. Ulrych1.331112113V. Hruska Sr3.2551050LSep 29 · 00:30V. Hruska Sr2.10571111122J. Strnad1.67111187143WSep 28 · 23:00V. Hruska Sr2.1011118113J. Briska1.67761191WSep 28 · 22:00T. Regner1.36361141V. Hruska Sr3.0011118113LSep 27 · 08:59V. Hruska Sr1.736970P. Berdych2.001111113WSep 27 · 08:30V. Hruska Sr1.911311113P. Berdych1.8011190LSep 27 · 07:00V. Hruska Sr2.38813971L. Sulava1.53111111113LSep 27 · 06:00J. Strnad1.8051111113V. Hruska Sr1.91111651LSep 26 · 17:30V. Hruska Sr1.70101171292M. Chalupnicek2.021291110113LSep 26 · 16:30A. Schneeberger1.731115133V. Hruska Sr2.00713110
J. Briska10
LSep 29 · 02:30J. Briska1.33111110652T. Regner3.25561211113WSep 29 · 01:30J. Strnad2.10671181J. Briska1.6711119113LSep 29 · 00:00J. Briska1.8311711792M. Ulrych1.83911911113LSep 28 · 23:00V. Hruska Sr2.1011118113J. Briska1.67761191LSep 28 · 09:00L. Sulava2.25115119113J. Briska1.5761111192LSep 28 · 08:30J. Strnad1.911313113J. Briska1.80111190LSep 28 · 07:30J. Briska1.83311851V. Dolezal1.8311211113WSep 28 · 06:30L. Sulava2.1089111472J. Briska1.671111612113WSep 6 · 13:00J. Briska2.2031111113M. Stefek1.61119951WSep 6 · 12:00M. Stefek2.258670J. Briska1.571111113
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