TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Jiri Stach vs Eduard Sionkala 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1179114111416––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:45 and never touched: 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeEduard Sionkala to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingJiri Stach above · Eduard Sionkala below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 14-16
Point 83 set 4, 14-16 · our read held Eduard Sionkala at 61.2%
83 points played in total.
H2H Jiri Stach 11–19 Eduard Sionkala Jiri Stach has won 11 of their 30 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:4561.2%Our read65.2%to break even at 1.533
short by 4.0pp65.2% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.533 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Sionkala
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
11-19 in 30
Sionkala
Correct
gap of 8 in 30, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stach 1321 vs Sionkala 1360
Sionkala
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stach 40% vs Sionkala 0%
Stach
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stach 30% vs Sionkala 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stach -3 · Sionkala -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% · Slight lean (leans Sionkala) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sionkala form (0%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStach 2.375 / Sionkala 1.533
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Sionkala)-4.0pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13216783
Stach2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 32 of 91
Down 0–1, comes back25% 13 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back14% 4 of 28
Sionkala1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 13 days ago (Sep 17) · back after a break
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite52% won 26 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it61% 19 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStach3wins
AwaySionkala7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSionkala leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStach25%1 of 4
AwaySionkala66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stach4Sionkala6n = 10Sionkala took 6 of 10
S2Stach5Sionkala5n = 10split evenly
S3Stach3Sionkala7n = 10Sionkala took 7 of 10
S4Stach2Sionkala4n = 6Sionkala took 4 of 6
S5Stach2Sionkala3n = 5Sionkala took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricStachSionkalaStach − SionkalaBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.240.0−5.8per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStachSionkalaBasisWin rate · lifetime142 / 317 vs 74 / 15544.8%47.7%142 / 317 vs 74 / 155Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SionkalaStach 2.38/Sionkala 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.2%
Sionkala · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sionkala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 06:30J. Stach2371150E. Sionkala351113113
WJul 31 · 08:59J. Stach48811117113E. Sionkala3911281172
WJul 31 · 08:30J. Stach41311411123E. Sionkala44116116102
LJun 12 · 08:30J. Stach1331000E. Sionkala341112113
LMar 24 · 11:30J. Stach491111116102E. Sionkala48313911123
LMar 19 · 11:30J. Stach3411112552E. Sionkala47861111113
WMar 16 · 09:30J. Stach341112113E. Sionkala2671090
LMar 4 · 13:00J. Stach51141081182E. Sionkala531212117113
LMar 3 · 13:59J. Stach26911421E. Sionkala4111811113
LMar 3 · 13:00J. Stach237970E. Sionkala331111113
J. Stach10
LSep 30 · 10:00P. Varecha2.10121110113J. Stach1.671081291LSep 28 · 09:30J. Stach1.43119111072M. Kolek2.60511712113LSep 28 · 08:30A. Virag1.5011411113J. Stach2.50511491WSep 28 · 07:30J. Stach2.2011311113T. Kraninger1.61711991WSep 28 · 06:30M. Kolek2.105780J. Stach1.671111113LSep 22 · 13:30A. Virag1.5711911113J. Stach2.25611571LSep 22 · 12:00J. Stach1.61101291172D. Tyn2.201210117113WSep 22 · 11:30A. Schneeberger2.759980J. Stach1.401111113LSep 22 · 10:00J. Stach2.3891691582A. Virag1.5311141113113LSep 21 · 09:30Z. Zientek3.0012128113J. Stach1.3610101191
E. Sionkala10
LSep 30 · 12:00P. Varecha1.6711113143E. Sionkala2.108511121LSep 30 · 10:30E. Sionkala1.44119811102D. Kolek2.63811119123LSep 17 · 13:09F. Zurek2.25311911113E. Sionkala1.5511711972LSep 17 · 12:00E. Sionkala2.1071181142M. Koral1.67118117113LSep 17 · 11:30M. Kolek1.9111118113E. Sionkala1.80991141LSep 17 · 10:00E. Sionkala2.38117491F. Zurek1.5391111113LSep 9 · 09:30F. Zurek1.731111113E. Sionkala2.003480WSep 9 · 08:30D. Mikula1.9181171362E. Sionkala1.801191111113LSep 9 · 07:30E. Sionkala1.8311127742F. Zurek1.835101111113WSep 9 · 06:30J. Stach2.1071150E. Sionkala1.671113113
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