TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Daniel Branny vs Filip Theodor 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11471111131012––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:11 and never touched: 57.6% is still 57.6%
Graded at full timeDaniel Branny to win
57.6%
57.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDaniel Branny above · Filip Theodor below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 79 set 4, 10-12 · our read held Daniel Branny at 57.6%
79 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Branny 12–7 Filip Theodor Filip Theodor has won 7 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:11What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Branny
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
12-7 in 19
Branny
Wrong
gap of 5 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Branny 1528 vs Theodor 1512
Branny
Wrong
both rated, 16 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Branny 80% vs Theodor 100%
Theodor
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Branny 50% vs Theodor 80%
Theodor
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Branny -1 · Theodor +6
Theodor
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% · Slight lean (leans Branny) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Theodor form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBranny 1.61 / Theodor 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Branny)-0.1pp
TT Cup · #13215625
Branny1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 27)
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite65% won 62 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it91% 19 of 21
Up 1–0, closes it79% 38 of 48
Theodor2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 23)
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog49% won 28 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back20% 5 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBranny9wins
AwayTheodor1wins
6 of 10 to a deciderBranny leads 9–1, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBranny83.3%5 of 6
AwayTheodor0%0 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Branny6Theodor4n = 10Branny took 6 of 10
S2Branny4Theodor6n = 10Theodor took 6 of 10
S3Branny7Theodor3n = 10Branny took 7 of 10
S4Branny5Theodor4n = 9Branny took 5 of 9
S5Branny6Theodor0n = 6Branny took 6 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home660%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBrannyTheodorB − TBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match45.939.5+6.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrannyTheodorBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 355 vs 90 / 18752.1%48.1%185 / 355 vs 90 / 187Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.037.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BrannyBranny 1.61/Theodor 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
57.6%
Branny · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Theodor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 6 · 13:45D. Branny50118911113F. Theodor4081111552
WAug 5 · 19:15D. Branny331111113F. Theodor175750
WJul 27 · 20:33D. Branny47771111113F. Theodor3611117342
WJul 27 · 18:10D. Branny4291111113F. Theodor25115451
WJun 18 · 19:15D. Branny3911413113F. Theodor387111191
LApr 27 · 16:50D. Branny401111991F. Theodor4381311113
WApr 27 · 14:45D. Branny48811117113F. Theodor4611691192
WApr 21 · 20:34D. Branny549121111113F. Theodor4511148572
WApr 21 · 17:40D. Branny50111178133F. Theodor49971111112
WApr 9 · 17:45D. Branny561161215123F. Theodor568111017102
D. Branny10
WSep 29 · 19:45L. Lasota1.83451181D. Branny1.8311117113WSep 29 · 19:15V. Reska2.101011114122D. Branny1.67129711143LSep 27 · 21:10D. Branny2.109101861T. Molin1.67111216113WSep 27 · 19:45D. Branny2.38881212113T. Molin1.531111101072WSep 27 · 18:45D. Branny1.6781611113V. Reska2.101114591WSep 27 · 17:45D. Branny1.7311115113O. Skvor2.00681191WSep 24 · 20:44M. Raska2.00119118142D. Branny1.73911511163LSep 24 · 19:45M. Raska2.001111113D. Branny1.734890LSep 24 · 19:15J. Przybyla2.20112119113D. Branny1.6191191192WSep 24 · 18:15D. Branny1.671111113V. Reska2.108940
F. Theodor10
WSep 29 · 18:45L. Lasota1.7381011111F. Theodor2.0011125133WSep 23 · 21:20F. Theodor2.001111123K. Zeman1.7337100WSep 23 · 19:45V. Reska1.67121111632F. Theodor2.10148911113WSep 23 · 19:15P. Chvojka1.911041381F. Theodor1.80121111113WSep 23 · 18:15F. Theodor2.00891112123K. Zeman1.731111610102WSep 21 · 17:08K. Przeczek1.73911731F. Theodor2.0011511113WSep 21 · 15:40F. Theodor2.25115119123O. Skvor1.57811811102LSep 21 · 14:40F. Theodor1.918101113112K. Przeczek1.801112411133WSep 21 · 13:40F. Theodor1.80681111113O. Coufal1.9111114692WSep 13 · 16:46O. Kus1.80115471F. Theodor1.9051111113
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