TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Oldrich Vaclahovsky vs Jan Przybyla 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 25Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118116711118––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOldrich Vaclahovsky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOldrich Vaclahovsky above · Jan Przybyla below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 73 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Oldrich Vaclahovsky at 54.0%
73 points played in total.
H2H Oldrich Vaclahovsky 1–1 Jan Przybyla Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Vaclahovsky beat Przybyla 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:38What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Przybyla
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vaclahovsky 1429 vs Przybyla 1429
Vaclahovsky
Correct
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vaclahovsky 40% vs Przybyla 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vaclahovsky 50% vs Przybyla 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vaclahovsky -1 · Przybyla +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vaclahovsky)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przybyla form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVaclahovsky 1.83 / Przybyla 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vaclahovsky)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13196817
Vaclahovsky1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Przybyla1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVaclahovsky1wins
AwayPrzybyla1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricVaclahovskyPrzybylaV − PBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match45.037.5+7.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVaclahovskyPrzybylaBasisWin rate · lifetime123 / 260 vs 229 / 45047.3%50.9%123 / 260 vs 229 / 450Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VaclahovskyVaclahovsky 1.83/Przybyla 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Vaclahovsky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vaclahovsky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 25 · 18:15O. Vaclahovsky49117119113J. Przybyla3581131122
LJun 22 · 18:45O. Vaclahovsky4181011121J. Przybyla4011123143
O. Vaclahovsky10
LSep 25 · 20:15O. Vaclahovsky2.259590T. Ogrocki1.571111113WSep 25 · 18:45M. Henzel2.10811761O. Vaclahovsky1.6711911113WSep 25 · 18:15J. Przybyla1.5381131122O. Vaclahovsky2.38117119113LSep 22 · 16:40F. Mandrysz2.2011115113O. Vaclahovsky1.61751131LSep 22 · 15:40T. Ogrocki1.5711713133O. Vaclahovsky2.2571111111LSep 22 · 15:10F. Mandrysz2.5011119113O. Vaclahovsky1.50571191WSep 22 · 14:10O. Vaclahovsky1.53614411123L. Jr2.381112118102LSep 9 · 17:15M. Lorenc1.85129119113O. Vaclahovsky1.85101171182WSep 9 · 16:15L. Zustina1.9191150O. Vaclahovsky1.801113113WSep 9 · 15:15O. Vaclahovsky1.53161211113R. Benesz2.381414481
J. Przybyla10
WSep 25 · 19:45M. Henzel1.6710750J. Przybyla2.101211113WSep 25 · 19:15T. Ogrocki1.73641181J. Przybyla2.0011116113LSep 25 · 18:15J. Przybyla1.5381131122O. Vaclahovsky2.38117119113LSep 25 · 16:44V. Konvicka1.6112116113J. Przybyla2.201051171LSep 25 · 16:15T. Molin1.7311119113J. Przybyla2.00781141LSep 25 · 15:15J. Przybyla2.005960V. Konvicka1.731111113LSep 25 · 13:45L. Kantor1.67111112113J. Przybyla2.101381061WSep 24 · 21:15V. Reska1.619890J. Przybyla2.201111113LSep 24 · 20:15V. Reska1.7311114113J. Przybyla2.00891171WSep 24 · 19:15J. Przybyla2.20112119113D. Branny1.6191191192
Upcoming Matches
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J. Przybyla
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